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Day 4-8 Convective Outlook Issued on Oct 13, 2008
Updated: Mon Oct 13 08:57:06 UTC 2008
Note:
A severe weather area depicted in the Day 4-8 period
indicates a 30% or higher probability for severe
thunderstorms within 25 miles of any point.
| D4 | Thu, Oct 16, 2008 - Fri, Oct 17, 2008 |
D7 | Sun, Oct 19, 2008 - Mon, Oct 20, 2008 |
| D5 | Fri, Oct 17, 2008 - Sat, Oct 18, 2008 |
D8 | Mon, Oct 20, 2008 - Tue, Oct 21, 2008 |
| D6 | Sat, Oct 18, 2008 - Sun, Oct 19, 2008 |
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) |
ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL
ACUS48 KWNS 130856
SPC AC 130856
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0356 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2008
VALID 161200Z - 211200Z
...DISCUSSION...
MODELS MAINTAIN DECENT AGREEMENT THROUGH ROUGHLY DAY 6...AFTER WHICH
DISCREPANCIES BETWEEN THE ECMWF AND GFS INCREASE DRASTICALLY.
THROUGH DAY 6 /SAT. OCT. 18/...SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS APPEAR LIKELY ALONG A COLD FRONT PROGGED TO SAG SLOWLY
SEWD ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH AND INTO THE SOUTHEAST...IN RESPONSE TO AN
AMPLIFYING UPPER TROUGH MOVING EWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND ERN CONUS.
HOWEVER...LITTLE SEVERE POTENTIAL IS EVIDENT...AS INSTABILITY
SHOULD REMAIN LIMITED.
..GOSS.. 10/13/2008
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
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