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< Day 3 Outlook    
Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook Issued on Mar 4, 2015
Updated: Wed Mar 4 10:08:02 UTC 2015
D4-8 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
 Population  Cities  CWAs  Interstates  Counties  ARTCC  FEMA Regions

D4Sat, Mar 07, 2015 - Sun, Mar 08, 2015 D7Tue, Mar 10, 2015 - Wed, Mar 11, 2015
D5Sun, Mar 08, 2015 - Mon, Mar 09, 2015 D8Wed, Mar 11, 2015 - Thu, Mar 12, 2015
D6Mon, Mar 09, 2015 - Tue, Mar 10, 2015 (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC the following day)
Note: A severe weather area depicted in the Day 4-8 period indicates 15%, 30% or higher probability for severe thunderstorms within 25 miles of any point.
PREDICTABILITY TOO LOW is used to indicate severe storms may be possible based on some model scenarios. However, the location or occurrence of severe storms are in doubt due to: 1) large differences in the deterministic model solutions, 2) large spread in the ensemble guidance, and/or 3) minimal run-to-run continuity.
POTENTIAL TOO LOW means the threat for a regional area of organized severe storms appears unlikely (i.e., less than 15%) for the forecast day.
 Forecast Discussion

   ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL
   ACUS48 KWNS 041006
   SPC AC 041006

   DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0406 AM CST WED MAR 04 2015

   VALID 071200Z - 121200Z

   ...DISCUSSION...
   DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT
   THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY /DAY 6/ WITH A MEAN TROUGH IN THE EAST AND
   OFFSHORE FLOW OVER THE GULF INDICATING LOW SEVERE POTENTIAL. WHILE
   SOME MOISTURE COULD BEGIN TO RETURN INLAND LATER DAY 7 INTO DAY
   8...PREDICTABILITY AT THIS RANGE IS LOW.

   ..DIAL.. 03/04/2015

   CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT


To retrieve previous Day 4-8 convective outlooks, enter the date YYYYMMDD (e.g., 20050310 for March 10, 2005.)
Data available since March 8, 2005.
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Page last modified: March 04, 2015
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