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Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook Issued on Feb 5, 2018
Updated: Mon Feb 5 08:01:02 UTC 2018
Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook Graphics Issued on Feb 5, 2018
Day 4 Severe Weather Outlook Graphics Issued on Feb 5, 2018
Day 4 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Day 5 Severe Weather Outlook Graphics Issued on Feb 5, 2018
Day 5 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Day 6 Severe Weather Outlook Graphics Issued on Feb 5, 2018
Day 6 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Day 7 Severe Weather Outlook Graphics Issued on Feb 5, 2018
Day 7 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Day 8 Severe Weather Outlook Graphics Issued on Feb 5, 2018
Day 8 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D4Thu, Feb 08, 2018 - Fri, Feb 09, 2018 D7Sun, Feb 11, 2018 - Mon, Feb 12, 2018
D5Fri, Feb 09, 2018 - Sat, Feb 10, 2018 D8Mon, Feb 12, 2018 - Tue, Feb 13, 2018
D6Sat, Feb 10, 2018 - Sun, Feb 11, 2018 (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC the following day)
Note: A severe weather area depicted in the Day 4-8 period indicates 15%, 30% or higher probability for severe thunderstorms within 25 miles of any point.
PREDICTABILITY TOO LOW is used to indicate severe storms may be possible based on some model scenarios. However, the location or occurrence of severe storms are in doubt due to: 1) large differences in the deterministic model solutions, 2) large spread in the ensemble guidance, and/or 3) minimal run-to-run continuity.
POTENTIAL TOO LOW means the threat for a regional area of organized severe storms appears unlikely (i.e., less than 15%) for the forecast day.
 Forecast Discussion

   ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL
   ACUS48 KWNS 050759
   SPC AC 050759

   Day 4-8 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0159 AM CST Mon Feb 05 2018

   Valid 081200Z - 131200Z

   ...DISCUSSION...
   Large-scale pattern continues to favor surface anticyclone
   dominating the eastern US as northwesterly flow is not expected to
   break down through the medium range period. Repetitive surges of
   continental air should maintain offshore flow along the
   Gulf/Atlantic coasts such that moisture will struggle to advance
   inland. In the absence of meaningful instability the probability for
   organized severe thunderstorms will be low this week.

   ..Darrow.. 02/05/2018

   CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
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Page last modified: February 05, 2018
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