Note: Fire weather probabilistic information in
PDF. Note: Starting June 25, 2013, the SPC will issue Experimental Dry Thunderstorm Fire
Weather Outlooks for Days 4 through 8 with individual web graphics.
Mouse over or click on the tabs above the graphic to view daily Day 3-8 Fire Weather Categorical Outlooks (D3-8 FW Categorical).
Scalloped areas (in Day3-8 graphics)/dashed areas (in individual day graphics) will indicate areas where the combination
of numerous cloud-to-ground lightning strikes, generally less than one-tenth inch of rain and dry fuels are forecast.
Please read the Product Description Document (PDD),
Public Information Notice (PNS),
and provide feedback using this link:
The experiment will end on July 30, 2013 and a decision will be made whether to proceed with testing,
revise the test, or continue on the path to operational production. Note: Starting on June 5, 2012 to January 30, 2013, SPC will issue Experimental Probabilistic
Fire Weather Dry Thunder and Strong Wind Outlooks for Day 3 to 8 with individual web graphics.
Mouse over or click on the tabs above the graphic to view daily Probabilistic Dry Thunder (DryT) and Strong Wind (Wind)
Fire Weather Outlooks.
Please read the
Product Description Document (PDD) and provide feedback using this link:
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 222046
DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0346 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014
VALID 241200Z - 301200Z
A MID-LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE ASHORE FROM THE E PACIFIC
THIS WEEKEND BEFORE ADVANCING EWD INTO NEXT WEEK. ENHANCED
DEEP-LAYER FLOW SURROUNDING AND PRECEDING THE TROUGH WILL AFFECT
PORTIONS OF THE WRN STATES. ATTENDANT STRONG SFC WINDS MAY COMBINE
WITH DIURNALLY REDUCED SFC RH TO SUPPORT SOME FIRE-WEATHER
RISK...ESPECIALLY WHERE DOWNSLOPE EFFECTS BOLSTER BOUNDARY-LAYER
WARMING/DRYING IN AREAS OF DRY FUELS. THIS WOULD BE OF GREATEST
CONCERN FROM PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL GREAT BASIN TO WY FOR THIS
WEEKEND. HOWEVER...DIFFERENCES AMONGST MODEL SOLUTIONS REGARDING THE
EVOLUTION OF THE TROUGH AND RELATED STRONG-SFC-WIND POTENTIAL...AND
REGARDING THE DEGREE OF BOUNDARY-LAYER DRYING...YIELD LOW CONFIDENCE
IN ANY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER RISK SUCH THAT PROBABILISTIC
DELINEATIONS HAVE NOT BEEN INCLUDED AT THIS TIME.
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT