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< Day 2 FW Outlook    
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Issued on Apr 25, 2015
Updated: Sat Apr 25 20:07:03 UTC 2015  (Print Version)
Note: Fire weather probabilistic information in MS-Word or PDF.
Note: Through September 29, 2015 the SPC will issue Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Dry Thunder and Strong Wind Outlooks for Days 3 to 8 with individual web graphics. Mouse over or click on the tabs above the graphic to view daily Probabilistic Dry Thunder (DryT) and Strong Wind (Wind) Fire Weather Outlooks. Please read the Product Description Document (PDD) and provide feedback using this link: "http://www.weather.gov/survey/nws-survey.php?code=spc38firewx.
Categorical D3-8 FW Otlk D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Exp. DryT/LowRH/Wind D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Population Cities CWAs Interstates Counties FEMA Regions

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3Mon, Apr 27, 2015 - Tue, Apr 28, 2015 D6Thu, Apr 30, 2015 - Fri, May 01, 2015
D4Tue, Apr 28, 2015 - Wed, Apr 29, 2015 D7Fri, May 01, 2015 - Sat, May 02, 2015
D5Wed, Apr 29, 2015 - Thu, Apr 30, 2015 D8Sat, May 02, 2015 - Sun, May 03, 2015
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 252005

   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0305 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

   VALID 271200Z - 031200Z

   A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN IS EXPECTED DURING THE DAY 3-8 PERIOD. THE
   UPPER LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS ON DAY 3/MON WILL SLOWLY
   SHIFT EAST AND BECOME AN OPEN WAVE OVER THE MID/LOWER MS AND TN/OH
   VALLEYS BY DAY 5/WED. AT THE SURFACE...HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE
   INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AND GREAT BASIN WILL LEAD TO WEAK TO MODERATE
   OFFSHORE FLOW ACROSS SOUTHERN CA ON DAY/3. IN THE WAKE OF THE UPPER
   LOW...AN UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE ROCKIES AND MOVE INTO THE
   PLAINS ON DAYS 5/6-WED/THU. ANY STRONGER DEEP LAYER FLOW DURING THIS
   TIME FRAME WILL RESIDE FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO THE EASTERN GULF
   COAST...ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER TROUGH SLOWLY PROGRESSING TOWARDS
   THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. BY DAY 6 THROUGH DAY 8...A SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS
   FORECAST TO MOVE ONSHORE THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST AND TRACK EAST
   ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AND INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THIS MAY
   LEAD TO SOME ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND
   NORTHERN PLAINS...BUT MODEL DIFFERENCES AT THIS TIME FRAME ARE TOO
   GREAT TO PROVIDE ENOUGH CONFIDENCE IN HIGHLIGHTING ANY AREAS.

   ...DAY 3/MONDAY - SWRN CA MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS...

   LIGHT TO MODERATE OFFSHORE WINDS WILL BE ONGOING MONDAY MORNING.
   HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE 70S AND 80S IN LOWER ELEVATIONS
   AND RH VALUES WILL DROP TO AROUND 10-15 PERCENT IN THE FOOTHILLS AND
   CANYONS...WITH HIGHER VALUES EXPECTED NEAR THE COASTAL AREAS. THE
   STRONGEST WINDS /15 MPH GUSTING TO 35 MPH/ WILL BE THROUGH FAVORED
   CANYONS AND PASSES OF THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS
   AND FOOTHILLS...WITH LIGHTER WINDS IN THE LOWER COASTAL AREAS. THE
   SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL WEAKEN THROUGH THE DAY...RESULTING IN
   WEAKENING WIND SPEEDS BY EVENING. LIGHT RAINFALL OCCURRING ACROSS
   THIS AREA DURING THE DAY 1/SAT PERIOD COMBINED WITH MARGINAL FUEL
   CONDITIONS AND THE SHORT DURATION OF STRONGER OFFSHORE WINDS WILL
   LIMIT THE OVERALL THREAT.

   ..LEITMAN.. 04/25/2015

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

   $$

   CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT
      
Fire Wx Graphics | Links | Product Info | Fire Weather Composite Maps (updated 4 times daily)

To retrieve previous Day 3-8 FireWX outlooks, type in the date you wish to retrieve in YYMMDD (e.g., 060205 for Feb. 5, 2006).
Data available since January 1, 2006.
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Page last modified: April 25, 2015
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