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< Day 2 FW Outlook    
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Issued on Jul 29, 2015
Updated: Wed Jul 29 20:41:02 UTC 2015  (Print Version)
Note: Fire weather probabilistic information in MS-Word or PDF.
Note: Through September 29, 2015 the SPC will issue Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Dry Thunder and Strong Wind Outlooks for Days 3 to 8 with individual web graphics. Mouse over or click on the tabs above the graphic to view daily Probabilistic Dry Thunder (DryT) and Strong Wind (Wind) Fire Weather Outlooks. Please read the Product Description Document (PDD) and provide feedback using this link: "http://www.weather.gov/survey/nws-survey.php?code=spc38firewx.
Categorical D3-8 FW Otlk D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Exp. DryT/LowRH/Wind D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Population Cities CWAs Interstates Counties FEMA Regions

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3Fri, Jul 31, 2015 - Sat, Aug 01, 2015 D6Mon, Aug 03, 2015 - Tue, Aug 04, 2015
D4Sat, Aug 01, 2015 - Sun, Aug 02, 2015 D7Tue, Aug 04, 2015 - Wed, Aug 05, 2015
D5Sun, Aug 02, 2015 - Mon, Aug 03, 2015 D8Wed, Aug 05, 2015 - Thu, Aug 06, 2015
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 292039

   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0339 PM CDT WED JUL 29 2015

   VALID 311200Z - 061200Z

   UPPER PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN MOSTLY UNCHANGED THROUGH AT
   LEAST EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE PACIFIC
   NW SEWD INTO THE LWR MS VALLEY AND UPPER TROUGHING FROM THE NRN
   PLAINS THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES AND INTO THE NORTHEAST STATES. AS
   SUCH...ENHANCED WLY FLOW ALOFT THROUGH THE BASE OF THE TROUGH WILL
   REMAIN DISPLACED FROM THE WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE WRN
   CONUS WITH THE LARGE SCALE WIND-DRIVEN FIRE WEATHER THREAT LOW AS A
   RESULT. 

   MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL BEGIN PROGRESSING NWD THROUGH THE WRN
   PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH ENOUGH
   MOISTURE LIKELY IN PLACE FOR ISOLATED TSTM ACTIVITY ACROSS NRN CA
   AND SW ORE ON D3/FRI. CONTINUED NWD/NEWD PROGRESSION OF THE
   MID-LEVEL MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN A GRADUALLY EXPANDING
   TSTM THREAT INTO MOST OF ORE ON D4/SAT AND INTO W-CNTRL ID ON
   D5/SUN. A MORE SUBSTANTIAL/WIDESPREAD TSTM THREAT MAY BE REALIZED ON
   D6/MON AS MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE
   ACROSS ORE AND INTO ID. CURRENT EXPECTATION IS FOR MUCH OF THIS TSTM
   ACTIVITY TO BE DRY AND ISOLATED DRY TSTM AREAS WERE DELINEATED
   ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NRN CA...THE PACIFIC NW...AND NRN ROCKIES
   FROM D3/FRI THROUGH D6/MON. GIVEN THE LACK OF BETTER SYNOPTIC
   FORCING...THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY REGARDING TSTM COVERAGE WITH
   REFINEMENTS LIKELY NEEDED TO THESE THREAT AREAS IN SUBSEQUENT
   FORECASTS.

   ..MOSIER.. 07/29/2015

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

   $$

   CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT
      
Fire Wx Graphics | Links | Product Info | Fire Weather Composite Maps (updated 4 times daily)

To retrieve previous Day 3-8 FireWX outlooks, type in the date you wish to retrieve in YYMMDD (e.g., 060205 for Feb. 5, 2006).
Data available since January 1, 2006.
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Page last modified: July 29, 2015
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