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< Day 2 FW Outlook    
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Issued on Apr 20, 2014
Updated: Sun Apr 20 21:31:04 UTC 2014  (Print Version)
Note: Fire weather probabilistic information in MS-Word or PDF.
Note: Starting June 25, 2013, the SPC will issue Experimental Dry Thunderstorm Fire Weather Outlooks for Days 4 through 8 with individual web graphics. Mouse over or click on the tabs above the graphic to view daily Day 3-8 Fire Weather Categorical Outlooks (D3-8 FW Categorical). Scalloped areas (in Day3-8 graphics)/dashed areas (in individual day graphics) will indicate areas where the combination of numerous cloud-to-ground lightning strikes, generally less than one-tenth inch of rain and dry fuels are forecast. Please read the Product Description Document (PDD), Public Information Notice (PNS), and provide feedback using this link: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/survey/nws-survey.php?code=DTFWO. The experiment will end on July 30, 2013 and a decision will be made whether to proceed with testing, revise the test, or continue on the path to operational production.
Note: Starting on June 5, 2012 to January 30, 2013, SPC will issue Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Dry Thunder and Strong Wind Outlooks for Day 3 to 8 with individual web graphics. Mouse over or click on the tabs above the graphic to view daily Probabilistic Dry Thunder (DryT) and Strong Wind (Wind) Fire Weather Outlooks. Please read the Product Description Document (PDD) and provide feedback using this link: http://www.weather.gov/survey/nws-survey.php?code=spc38firewx.
D3-8 FW Categorical D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Prob. DryT/LowRH/Wind D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Population Cities CWAs Interstates Counties FEMA Regions

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
D3 73,918 2,471,661 Las Vegas, NV...Henderson, NV...N. Las Vegas, NV...St. George, UT...Lake Havasu City, AZ...
D4 159,957 2,790,487 El Paso, TX...Albuquerque, NM...Roswell, NM...Farmington, NM...Alamogordo, NM...
D6 19,115 247,865 Lake Havasu City, AZ...Dolan Springs, AZ...
D7 55,613 473,389 Roswell, NM...Alamogordo, NM...Clovis, NM...Deming, NM...Socorro, NM...
D3Tue, Apr 22, 2014 - Wed, Apr 23, 2014 D6Fri, Apr 25, 2014 - Sat, Apr 26, 2014
D4Wed, Apr 23, 2014 - Thu, Apr 24, 2014 D7Sat, Apr 26, 2014 - Sun, Apr 27, 2014
D5Thu, Apr 24, 2014 - Fri, Apr 25, 2014 D8Sun, Apr 27, 2014 - Mon, Apr 28, 2014
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 202129

   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0429 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

   VALID 221200Z - 281200Z

   --AN ACTIVE METEOROLOGICAL FIRE WEATHER PATTERN FEATURING WIDESPREAD
   STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL LIKELY DEVELOP AND
   AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SWRN CONUS THIS WEEK AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND.--
    
   A POTENT MID-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WRN STATES ON TUESDAY WILL
   PROGRESS EWD TO THE MID AND UPPER MS RIVER VALLEY BY THURSDAY.  LOW-
   TO MID-TROPOSPHERIC FLOW WILL STRENGTHEN ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF
   THE DESERT SW/SRN GREAT BASIN ON TUESDAY AND SHIFT EWD INTO THE SRN
   ROCKIES AND CNTRL AND SRN HIGH PLAINS BY WEDNESDAY.  AN ANTECEDENTLY
   DRY AIRMASS OVER THE SWRN CONUS WILL LIKELY PROVE FAVORABLE FOR
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WHERE FUELS ARE RECEPTIVE.  BY LATE
   THIS WORK WEEK AND INTO THIS WEEKEND...A MORE AMPLIFIED MID-LEVEL
   TROUGH IS FORECAST BY ENSEMBLE MODEL DATA TO MOVE INTO THE WEST
   COAST STATES AND THEN PROCEED EWD TOWARDS THE CNTRL ROCKIES BY LATE
   NEXT WEEKEND.  STRONG WINDS/LOW RH ARE AGAIN EXPECTED ACROSS A LARGE
   PORTION OF THE SWRN CONUS IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS MID-LEVEL WAVE.

   ..SMITH.. 04/20/2014

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

   $$

   CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT
      
Fire Wx Graphics | Links | Product Info | Fire Weather Composite Maps (updated 4 times daily)

To retrieve previous Day 3-8 FireWX outlooks, type in the date you wish to retrieve in YYMMDD (e.g., 060205 for Feb. 5, 2006).
Data available since January 1, 2006.
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Page last modified: April 20, 2014
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