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< Day 2 FW Outlook    
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Issued on Sep 27, 2016
Updated: Tue Sep 27 20:47:02 UTC 2016  (Print Version)
Note: Fire weather probabilistic information in MS-Word or PDF.
Note: Through September 29, 2015 the SPC will issue Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Dry Thunder and Strong Wind Outlooks for Days 3 to 8 with individual web graphics. Mouse over or click on the tabs above the graphic to view daily Probabilistic Dry Thunder (DryT) and Strong Wind (Wind) Fire Weather Outlooks. Please read the Product Description Document (PDD) and provide feedback using this link: "http://www.weather.gov/survey/nws-survey.php?code=spc38firewx.
Categorical D3-8 FW Otlk D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Exp. DryT/LowRH/Wind D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Population Cities CWAs Interstates Counties FEMA Regions

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3Thu, Sep 29, 2016 - Fri, Sep 30, 2016 D6Sun, Oct 02, 2016 - Mon, Oct 03, 2016
D4Fri, Sep 30, 2016 - Sat, Oct 01, 2016 D7Mon, Oct 03, 2016 - Tue, Oct 04, 2016
D5Sat, Oct 01, 2016 - Sun, Oct 02, 2016 D8Tue, Oct 04, 2016 - Wed, Oct 05, 2016
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 272045

   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0345 PM CDT TUE SEP 27 2016

   VALID 291200Z - 051200Z

   A SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE PACIFIC NW/NRN CA ON
   D4/FRI. ATTENDANT STRONG MID/UPPER LEVEL FLOW THROUGHOUT ITS BASE
   WILL CONTRIBUTE TO GUSTY WINDS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NRN CA...NWRN
   NV...AND SERN ORE DURING THE AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS COMBINED WITH
   WARM TEMPERATURES AND DRY SURFACE CONDITIONS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO
   ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL. FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE ALSO
   POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION ON D5/SAT WITH GUSTY WINDS AND DRY
   CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN THE WAKE OF A DRY COLD FRONT. 

   GUIDANCE SUGGESTS ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL FOLLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE
   FIRST. ENHANCED MID/UPPER LEVEL FLOW WOULD LIKELY ACCOMPANY THE
   SECOND SHORTWAVE WITH POSSIBLE FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL LATE THIS
   WEEKEND ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE GREAT BASIN AND EARLY NEXT WEEK
   ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE HIGH PLAINS. HOWEVER...RUN-TO-RUN AND
   MODEL-TO-MODEL VARIABILITY REGARDING THE STRENGTH...LOCATION...AND
   EVOLUTION OF THIS SECOND SHORTWAVE LEADS TO HIGH UNCERTAINTY AND
   CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO INTRODUCE ANY PROBABILITIES WITH THIS
   FORECAST.

   ..MOSIER.. 09/27/2016

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

   $$

   CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT
      
Fire Wx Graphics | Links | Product Info | Fire Weather Composite Maps (updated 4 times daily)

To retrieve previous Day 3-8 FireWX outlooks, type in the date you wish to retrieve in YYMMDD (e.g., 060205 for Feb. 5, 2006).
Data available since January 1, 2006.
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Page last modified: September 27, 2016
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