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PDF. Note: Through September 29, 2015 the SPC will issue Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Dry Thunder and Strong Wind Outlooks for Days 3 to 8 with individual web graphics.
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ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 232029
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0329 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017
Valid 251200Z - 011200Z
Ascent accompanying a migratory midlevel impulse is expected to
combine with sufficient moisture and buoyancy for isolated
thunderstorm potential over the vicinity of the northern Great Basin
for Day-3/Sunday into Day-4/Monday. Antecedent deep, well-mixed
boundary layers associated with hot/dry surface conditions over the
northern extent of an antecedent, dampening midlevel ridge will be
favorable for a dry-thunderstorm mode, amid sufficiently dry/drying
For Day-5/Tuesday, some dry-thunderstorm potential may affect parts
of southern MT and vicinity as the impulse continues progressing
eastward. However, confidence in sufficient coverage of this
activity affecting locations where potentially dry fuels could exist
(e.g., perhaps relegated to parts of eastern MT) is presently too
limited for dry-thunderstorm probabilities.
Sufficient enhancement to the flow peripheral to the aforementioned
impulse is expected to support some critical, wind-driven
fire-weather risk across parts of the southwest states and central
Great Basin vicinity for Day-4/Monday into Day-5/Tuesday. While
40-percent areas are in effect for Day-4/Monday and Day-5/Tuesday,
Critical areas have not been added at this time, owing to notable
differences among model solutions and relatively modest low-level
flow strength depicted by multiple model solutions.
For Day-6/Wednesday through Day-8/Friday, notable differences among
medium-range model guidance regarding the evolution of the
large-scale pattern yields too little predictability for
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT