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< Day 2 FW Outlook    
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Issued on Oct 22, 2014
Updated: Wed Oct 22 20:48:03 UTC 2014  (Print Version)
Note: Fire weather probabilistic information in MS-Word or PDF.
Note: Starting June 25, 2013, the SPC will issue Experimental Dry Thunderstorm Fire Weather Outlooks for Days 4 through 8 with individual web graphics. Mouse over or click on the tabs above the graphic to view daily Day 3-8 Fire Weather Categorical Outlooks (D3-8 FW Categorical). Scalloped areas (in Day3-8 graphics)/dashed areas (in individual day graphics) will indicate areas where the combination of numerous cloud-to-ground lightning strikes, generally less than one-tenth inch of rain and dry fuels are forecast. Please read the Product Description Document (PDD), Public Information Notice (PNS), and provide feedback using this link: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/survey/nws-survey.php?code=DTFWO. The experiment will end on July 30, 2013 and a decision will be made whether to proceed with testing, revise the test, or continue on the path to operational production.
Note: Starting on June 5, 2012 to January 30, 2013, SPC will issue Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Dry Thunder and Strong Wind Outlooks for Day 3 to 8 with individual web graphics. Mouse over or click on the tabs above the graphic to view daily Probabilistic Dry Thunder (DryT) and Strong Wind (Wind) Fire Weather Outlooks. Please read the Product Description Document (PDD) and provide feedback using this link: http://www.weather.gov/survey/nws-survey.php?code=spc38firewx.
D3-8 FW Categorical D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Prob. DryT/LowRH/Wind D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Population Cities CWAs Interstates Counties FEMA Regions

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3Fri, Oct 24, 2014 - Sat, Oct 25, 2014 D6Mon, Oct 27, 2014 - Tue, Oct 28, 2014
D4Sat, Oct 25, 2014 - Sun, Oct 26, 2014 D7Tue, Oct 28, 2014 - Wed, Oct 29, 2014
D5Sun, Oct 26, 2014 - Mon, Oct 27, 2014 D8Wed, Oct 29, 2014 - Thu, Oct 30, 2014
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 222046

   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0346 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

   VALID 241200Z - 301200Z

   A MID-LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE ASHORE FROM THE E PACIFIC
   THIS WEEKEND BEFORE ADVANCING EWD INTO NEXT WEEK. ENHANCED
   DEEP-LAYER FLOW SURROUNDING AND PRECEDING THE TROUGH WILL AFFECT
   PORTIONS OF THE WRN STATES. ATTENDANT STRONG SFC WINDS MAY COMBINE
   WITH DIURNALLY REDUCED SFC RH TO SUPPORT SOME FIRE-WEATHER
   RISK...ESPECIALLY WHERE DOWNSLOPE EFFECTS BOLSTER BOUNDARY-LAYER
   WARMING/DRYING IN AREAS OF DRY FUELS. THIS WOULD BE OF GREATEST
   CONCERN FROM PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL GREAT BASIN TO WY FOR THIS
   WEEKEND. HOWEVER...DIFFERENCES AMONGST MODEL SOLUTIONS REGARDING THE
   EVOLUTION OF THE TROUGH AND RELATED STRONG-SFC-WIND POTENTIAL...AND
   REGARDING THE DEGREE OF BOUNDARY-LAYER DRYING...YIELD LOW CONFIDENCE
   IN ANY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER RISK SUCH THAT PROBABILISTIC
   DELINEATIONS HAVE NOT BEEN INCLUDED AT THIS TIME.

   ..COHEN.. 10/22/2014

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

   $$

   CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT
      
Fire Wx Graphics | Links | Product Info | Fire Weather Composite Maps (updated 4 times daily)

To retrieve previous Day 3-8 FireWX outlooks, type in the date you wish to retrieve in YYMMDD (e.g., 060205 for Feb. 5, 2006).
Data available since January 1, 2006.
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Page last modified: October 22, 2014
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