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< Day 2 FW Outlook    
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Issued on May 23, 2016
Updated: Mon May 23 19:35:02 UTC 2016  (Print Version)
Note: Fire weather probabilistic information in MS-Word or PDF.
Note: Through September 29, 2015 the SPC will issue Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Dry Thunder and Strong Wind Outlooks for Days 3 to 8 with individual web graphics. Mouse over or click on the tabs above the graphic to view daily Probabilistic Dry Thunder (DryT) and Strong Wind (Wind) Fire Weather Outlooks. Please read the Product Description Document (PDD) and provide feedback using this link: "http://www.weather.gov/survey/nws-survey.php?code=spc38firewx.
Categorical D3-8 FW Otlk D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Exp. DryT/LowRH/Wind D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Population Cities CWAs Interstates Counties FEMA Regions

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
D3 70,439 889,303 Las Cruces, NM...Roswell, NM...Alamogordo, NM...Clovis, NM...Carlsbad, NM...
D4 79,429 1,667,919 Lubbock, TX...Amarillo, TX...Las Cruces, NM...Roswell, NM...Alamogordo, NM...
D3Wed, May 25, 2016 - Thu, May 26, 2016 D6Sat, May 28, 2016 - Sun, May 29, 2016
D4Thu, May 26, 2016 - Fri, May 27, 2016 D7Sun, May 29, 2016 - Mon, May 30, 2016
D5Fri, May 27, 2016 - Sat, May 28, 2016 D8Mon, May 30, 2016 - Tue, May 31, 2016
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 231933

   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0233 PM CDT MON MAY 23 2016

   VALID 251200Z - 311200Z

   ...DAY 3-5/WED-FRI -- SOUTHERN ROCKIES/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...

   FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK WITH CONTINUED ENHANCED SOUTHWESTERLY DEEP
   LAYER FLOW OVER THE SRN ROCKIES/PLAINS THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK
   AS LARGER-SCALE UPPER TROUGH SHIFTS SLOWLY EAST. DAY 3-4/WED-THU
   LOOK TO BE THE DAYS WHEN STRONGEST SWLY SFC WINDS...RH VALUES BELOW
   12 PERCENT AND WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL ALIGN WITH
   CRITICALLY DRY FUELS. EXPECT SWLY SFC WINDS AROUND 20-25 MPH WITH
   HIGHER GUSTS...WIDESPREAD RH VALUES 10 PERCENT OR LESS...AND DRY
   FUELS ACROSS PARTS OF SRN/ERN NM INTO THE WRN OK/TX PANHANDLES. THIS
   AREA HAS ALREADY SEEN SEVERAL DAYS OF DRY DOWNSLOPE CONDITIONS
   BEHIND A SFC DRYLINE AND FINE FUELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE VERY DRY BY
   DAY 3. ELEVATED CONDITIONS MAY CONTINUE ON DAY 5/FRI ACROSS PARTS OF
   SRN/SERN NM INTO W TX ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE UPPER TROUGH. LOW RH
   CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST...BUT THE SURFACE LOW WILL SHIFT FURTHER
   NORTHEAST AND UPPER FLOW WILL BE DECREASING SO W/SWLY SFC WINDS WILL
   BE WEAKER THAN PREVIOUS DAYS.

   BEYOND DAY 5/FRI...GENERALLY WEAK W/SWLY DEEP LAYER FLOW WILL REMAIN
   OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL. THE
   ABSENCE OF STRONGER WINDS SHOULD LIMIT FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS
   HOWEVER.

   ..LEITMAN.. 05/23/2016

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

   $$

   CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT
      
Fire Wx Graphics | Links | Product Info | Fire Weather Composite Maps (updated 4 times daily)

To retrieve previous Day 3-8 FireWX outlooks, type in the date you wish to retrieve in YYMMDD (e.g., 060205 for Feb. 5, 2006).
Data available since January 1, 2006.
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Page last modified: May 23, 2016
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