ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 080919
   
   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0319 AM CST SUN NOV 08 2009
   
   VALID 101200Z - 161200Z
   
   ...DISCUSSION...
   MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO BRING HURRICANE IDA N ACROSS THE GULF OF
   MEXICO AND TOWARD THE FL PANHANDLE BY DAYS 3 AND 4...WITH HEAVY
   RAINFALL POSSIBLE N OF THE CYCLONE OVER PORTIONS OF THE SERN STATES.
   OTHERWISE...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO MIGRATE EWD FROM
   THE GREAT LAKES REGION ON DAY 3/4...AND THEN BECOME ESTABLISHED
   ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST SWD INTO THE SERN CONUS. DRY CONTINENTAL
   AIR MAY ACCOMPANY THE SURFACE HIGH...EVENTUALLY RESULTING IN LOW
   AFTERNOON RH VALUES OVER THE SERN STATES BY MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK.
   FARTHER W...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO ENTER THE W COAST
   ON WED/DAY 4...AND THEN MOVE E ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN W BEFORE
   EMERGING OVER THE PLAINS BY FRIDAY/DAY 6. SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS IS
   FORECAST TO TAKE PLACE AHEAD OF THE UPPER DISTURBANCE...BUT IT IS
   UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME WHETHER CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL
   ACCOMPANY THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND
   SRN HIGH PLAINS. DETERMINISTIC MODEL SOLUTIONS BEGIN TO DIVERGE
   SIGNIFICANTLY BY SATURDAY/DAY 7. HOWEVER...ECMWF AND MREF INDICATE A
   SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTER MAY BECOME POSITIONED OVER THE GREAT
   BASIN ALONG THE BACKSIDE OF AN EXITING UPPER TROUGH. IF THIS
   OCCURS...THEN THE PATTERN COULD FAVOR AN OFFSHORE WIND REGIME OVER
   SRN CA BY NEXT WEEKEND.
   
   ..GARNER.. 11/08/2009
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
   $$

   CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT