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< Day 2 FW Outlook    
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Issued on Jul 30, 2014
Updated: Wed Jul 30 20:21:03 UTC 2014  (Print Version)
Note: Fire weather probabilistic information in MS-Word or PDF.
Note: Starting June 25, 2013, the SPC will issue Experimental Dry Thunderstorm Fire Weather Outlooks for Days 4 through 8 with individual web graphics. Mouse over or click on the tabs above the graphic to view daily Day 3-8 Fire Weather Categorical Outlooks (D3-8 FW Categorical). Scalloped areas (in Day3-8 graphics)/dashed areas (in individual day graphics) will indicate areas where the combination of numerous cloud-to-ground lightning strikes, generally less than one-tenth inch of rain and dry fuels are forecast. Please read the Product Description Document (PDD), Public Information Notice (PNS), and provide feedback using this link: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/survey/nws-survey.php?code=DTFWO. The experiment will end on July 30, 2013 and a decision will be made whether to proceed with testing, revise the test, or continue on the path to operational production.
Note: Starting on June 5, 2012 to January 30, 2013, SPC will issue Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Dry Thunder and Strong Wind Outlooks for Day 3 to 8 with individual web graphics. Mouse over or click on the tabs above the graphic to view daily Probabilistic Dry Thunder (DryT) and Strong Wind (Wind) Fire Weather Outlooks. Please read the Product Description Document (PDD) and provide feedback using this link: http://www.weather.gov/survey/nws-survey.php?code=spc38firewx.
D3-8 FW Categorical D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Prob. DryT/LowRH/Wind D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Population Cities CWAs Interstates Counties FEMA Regions

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3Fri, Aug 01, 2014 - Sat, Aug 02, 2014 D6Mon, Aug 04, 2014 - Tue, Aug 05, 2014
D4Sat, Aug 02, 2014 - Sun, Aug 03, 2014 D7Tue, Aug 05, 2014 - Wed, Aug 06, 2014
D5Sun, Aug 03, 2014 - Mon, Aug 04, 2014 D8Wed, Aug 06, 2014 - Thu, Aug 07, 2014
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 302019

   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0319 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

   VALID 011200Z - 071200Z

   MID-LEVEL RIDGING ACROSS THE WRN CONUS WILL CONTINUE INTO LATE THIS
   WEEK AND EARLY THIS WEEKEND BEFORE GRADUALLY BREAKING DOWN...BUT
   PERHAPS BECOMING REESTABLISHED FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. WITH
   SUFFICIENT SUBTROPICAL AND MONSOONAL MOISTURE COVERING PORTIONS OF
   THE WRN STATES...AND MINOR IMPULSES ADVANCING THROUGH MODEST FLOW
   ALOFT FLANKING THE RIDGES...THUNDERSTORM CHANCES REMAIN IN THE
   FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WEST -- AIDED BY
   DIURNALLY ENHANCED OROGRAPHIC CIRCULATIONS. A FEW OF THESE STORMS
   MAY BE DRY...WITH LIGHTNING-INDUCED IGNITIONS POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY
   ACROSS THE NWRN CONUS AND ON THE EDGES OF RAIN CORES.
   HOWEVER...MEDIUM-RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE PROVIDES LOW CONFIDENCE THAT
   ANY SUBSTANTIAL PERTURBATIONS ALOFT WILL STRONGLY ENHANCE
   THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE IN AREAS WHERE THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES WOULD
   SUPPORT A DRY-THUNDERSTORM MODE. ADDITIONALLY...RELATIVELY LIMITED
   STORM MOTIONS AND PW VALUES OVER 0.75 INCH COULD SUPPORT STORMS WITH
   WETTING RAINS IN MANY AREAS. AS SUCH...PROBABILISTIC DELINEATIONS
   HAVE NOT BEEN INCLUDED AT THIS TIME FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS.
   OTHERWISE...STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH ARE NOT FORECAST TO COMBINE IN
   SUPPORT OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

   ..COHEN.. 07/30/2014

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

   $$

   CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT
      
Fire Wx Graphics | Links | Product Info | Fire Weather Composite Maps (updated 4 times daily)

To retrieve previous Day 3-8 FireWX outlooks, type in the date you wish to retrieve in YYMMDD (e.g., 060205 for Feb. 5, 2006).
Data available since January 1, 2006.
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Page last modified: July 30, 2014
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