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< Day 2 FW Outlook    
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Issued on Aug 19, 2014
Updated: Tue Aug 19 20:47:03 UTC 2014  (Print Version)
Note: Fire weather probabilistic information in MS-Word or PDF.
Note: Starting June 25, 2013, the SPC will issue Experimental Dry Thunderstorm Fire Weather Outlooks for Days 4 through 8 with individual web graphics. Mouse over or click on the tabs above the graphic to view daily Day 3-8 Fire Weather Categorical Outlooks (D3-8 FW Categorical). Scalloped areas (in Day3-8 graphics)/dashed areas (in individual day graphics) will indicate areas where the combination of numerous cloud-to-ground lightning strikes, generally less than one-tenth inch of rain and dry fuels are forecast. Please read the Product Description Document (PDD), Public Information Notice (PNS), and provide feedback using this link: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/survey/nws-survey.php?code=DTFWO. The experiment will end on July 30, 2013 and a decision will be made whether to proceed with testing, revise the test, or continue on the path to operational production.
Note: Starting on June 5, 2012 to January 30, 2013, SPC will issue Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Dry Thunder and Strong Wind Outlooks for Day 3 to 8 with individual web graphics. Mouse over or click on the tabs above the graphic to view daily Probabilistic Dry Thunder (DryT) and Strong Wind (Wind) Fire Weather Outlooks. Please read the Product Description Document (PDD) and provide feedback using this link: http://www.weather.gov/survey/nws-survey.php?code=spc38firewx.
D3-8 FW Categorical D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Prob. DryT/LowRH/Wind D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Population Cities CWAs Interstates Counties FEMA Regions

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3Thu, Aug 21, 2014 - Fri, Aug 22, 2014 D6Sun, Aug 24, 2014 - Mon, Aug 25, 2014
D4Fri, Aug 22, 2014 - Sat, Aug 23, 2014 D7Mon, Aug 25, 2014 - Tue, Aug 26, 2014
D5Sat, Aug 23, 2014 - Sun, Aug 24, 2014 D8Tue, Aug 26, 2014 - Wed, Aug 27, 2014
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 192045

   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0345 PM CDT TUE AUG 19 2014

   VALID 211200Z - 271200Z

   MEAN LARGE-SCALE PATTERN WILL LIKELY FAVOR AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE
   WRN CONUS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AN INITIAL ASSOCIATED IMPULSE IS
   FORECAST TO MOVE SWD ACROSS THE PAC NW ON THU/D3...AND WILL PROBABLY
   RESULT IN INCREASED TSTM POTENTIAL FOR ERN WA...BUT THE POTENTIAL
   FOR DRY TSTMS WILL BE LIMITED BY WEAK DEEP-LAYER FLOW AND MARGINAL
   BOUNDARY LAYER DRYNESS. AS THIS SYSTEM PROGRESSES EWD INTO THE
   WEEKEND...A DRIER AIR MASS WILL OVERSPREAD MUCH OF THE WRN
   CONUS...AND SHOULD LEAD TO A GENERAL REDUCTION IN TSTM COVERAGE. THE
   POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO BE FAIRLY LOCALIZED...WITH LOW
   PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD STRONG WIND/LOW RH EVENTS THROUGH NEXT
   WEEK. AN UPPER RIDGE MAY RE-DEVELOP EARLY NEXT WEEK...AND COULD
   FOSTER A GRADUAL INCREASE IN MOISTURE NWD FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN
   CONUS.

   ..ROGERS.. 08/19/2014

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

   $$

   CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT
      
Fire Wx Graphics | Links | Product Info | Fire Weather Composite Maps (updated 4 times daily)

To retrieve previous Day 3-8 FireWX outlooks, type in the date you wish to retrieve in YYMMDD (e.g., 060205 for Feb. 5, 2006).
Data available since January 1, 2006.
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Page last modified: August 19, 2014
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