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< Day 2 FW Outlook    
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Issued on Jun 23, 2017
Updated: Fri Jun 23 20:31:03 UTC 2017  (Print Version)
Note: Fire weather probabilistic information in MS-Word or PDF.
Note: Through September 29, 2015 the SPC will issue Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Dry Thunder and Strong Wind Outlooks for Days 3 to 8 with individual web graphics. Mouse over or click on the tabs above the graphic to view daily Probabilistic Dry Thunder (DryT) and Strong Wind (Wind) Fire Weather Outlooks. Please read the Product Description Document (PDD) and provide feedback using this link: "http://www.weather.gov/survey/nws-survey.php?code=spc38firewx.
Categorical D3-8 FW Otlk D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Exp. DryT/LowRH/Wind D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Population Cities CWAs Interstates Counties FEMA Regions

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3Sun, Jun 25, 2017 - Mon, Jun 26, 2017 D6Wed, Jun 28, 2017 - Thu, Jun 29, 2017
D4Mon, Jun 26, 2017 - Tue, Jun 27, 2017 D7Thu, Jun 29, 2017 - Fri, Jun 30, 2017
D5Tue, Jun 27, 2017 - Wed, Jun 28, 2017 D8Fri, Jun 30, 2017 - Sat, Jul 01, 2017
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 232029

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0329 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017

   Valid 251200Z - 011200Z

   ...Dry-thunderstorm potential...
   Ascent accompanying a migratory midlevel impulse is expected to
   combine with sufficient moisture and buoyancy for isolated
   thunderstorm potential over the vicinity of the northern Great Basin
   for Day-3/Sunday into Day-4/Monday. Antecedent deep, well-mixed
   boundary layers associated with hot/dry surface conditions over the
   northern extent of an antecedent, dampening midlevel ridge will be
   favorable for a dry-thunderstorm mode, amid sufficiently dry/drying
   fuels.

   For Day-5/Tuesday, some dry-thunderstorm potential may affect parts
   of southern MT and vicinity as the impulse continues progressing
   eastward. However, confidence in sufficient coverage of this
   activity affecting locations where potentially dry fuels could exist
   (e.g., perhaps relegated to parts of eastern MT) is presently too
   limited for dry-thunderstorm probabilities.

   ...Strong-wind/low-RH potential...
   Sufficient enhancement to the flow peripheral to the aforementioned
   impulse is expected to support some critical, wind-driven
   fire-weather risk across parts of the southwest states and central
   Great Basin vicinity for Day-4/Monday into Day-5/Tuesday. While
   40-percent areas are in effect for Day-4/Monday and Day-5/Tuesday,
   Critical areas have not been added at this time, owing to notable
   differences among model solutions and relatively modest low-level
   flow strength depicted by multiple model solutions.

   For Day-6/Wednesday through Day-8/Friday, notable differences among
   medium-range model guidance regarding the evolution of the
   large-scale pattern yields too little predictability for
   probabilistic delineations.

   ..Cohen.. 06/23/2017

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

   $$

   CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT
      
Fire Wx Graphics | Links | Product Info | Fire Weather Composite Maps (updated 4 times daily)

To retrieve previous Day 3-8 FireWX outlooks, type in the date you wish to retrieve in YYMMDD (e.g., 060205 for Feb. 5, 2006).
Data available since January 1, 2006.
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Page last modified: June 23, 2017
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