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< Day 2 FW Outlook    
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Issued on Oct 1, 2014
Updated: Wed Oct 1 19:14:02 UTC 2014  (Print Version)
Note: Fire weather probabilistic information in MS-Word or PDF.
Note: Starting June 25, 2013, the SPC will issue Experimental Dry Thunderstorm Fire Weather Outlooks for Days 4 through 8 with individual web graphics. Mouse over or click on the tabs above the graphic to view daily Day 3-8 Fire Weather Categorical Outlooks (D3-8 FW Categorical). Scalloped areas (in Day3-8 graphics)/dashed areas (in individual day graphics) will indicate areas where the combination of numerous cloud-to-ground lightning strikes, generally less than one-tenth inch of rain and dry fuels are forecast. Please read the Product Description Document (PDD), Public Information Notice (PNS), and provide feedback using this link: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/survey/nws-survey.php?code=DTFWO. The experiment will end on July 30, 2013 and a decision will be made whether to proceed with testing, revise the test, or continue on the path to operational production.
Note: Starting on June 5, 2012 to January 30, 2013, SPC will issue Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Dry Thunder and Strong Wind Outlooks for Day 3 to 8 with individual web graphics. Mouse over or click on the tabs above the graphic to view daily Probabilistic Dry Thunder (DryT) and Strong Wind (Wind) Fire Weather Outlooks. Please read the Product Description Document (PDD) and provide feedback using this link: http://www.weather.gov/survey/nws-survey.php?code=spc38firewx.
D3-8 FW Categorical D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Prob. DryT/LowRH/Wind D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Population Cities CWAs Interstates Counties FEMA Regions

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3Fri, Oct 03, 2014 - Sat, Oct 04, 2014 D6Mon, Oct 06, 2014 - Tue, Oct 07, 2014
D4Sat, Oct 04, 2014 - Sun, Oct 05, 2014 D7Tue, Oct 07, 2014 - Wed, Oct 08, 2014
D5Sun, Oct 05, 2014 - Mon, Oct 06, 2014 D8Wed, Oct 08, 2014 - Thu, Oct 09, 2014
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 011912

   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0212 PM CDT WED OCT 01 2014

   VALID 031200Z - 091200Z

   FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS DURING THE DAY 3-8 PERIOD WILL REMAIN LOW
   EXCEPT ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA WHERE OFFSHORE WINDS
   AND HOT/DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

   THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. WILL TRACK EWD TOWARD THE
   EASTERN SEABOARD BY SUNDAY/DAY 5. SEVERAL SHORTWAVE IMPULSES
   ROTATING THROUGH LARGER-SCALE FLOW WILL MAINTAIN THE TROUGH OVER THE
   EAST. ACROSS THE WEST...AN AMPLIFIED UPPER RIDGE WILL BE MAINTAINED
   FOR MOST OF THE PERIOD NEAR THE PACIFIC COAST. THIS WILL LEAD TO AN
   EXTENDED PERIOD OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS MUCH OF
   CALIFORNIA INTO PARTS OF THE SOUTHWEST DESERTS. SFC HIGH PRESSURE
   OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL RESULT IN A FAVORABLE PRESSURE GRADIENT
   ACROSS CALIFORNIA AND OFFSHORE N TO E WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
   WEEKEND. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON FRIDAY/DAY 3 BEFORE THE
   PRESSURE GRADIENT BECOMES RATHER WEAK AND WINDS IN TURN DIMINISH BY
   SAT/SUN-DAY 4/5. WHILE HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST OVER
   DROUGHT-STRICKEN SRN CA THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD...WEAKENING
   WINDS WILL LIMIT ANY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS TO DAY 3/FRI.

   ..LEITMAN.. 10/01/2014

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

   $$

   CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT
      
Fire Wx Graphics | Links | Product Info | Fire Weather Composite Maps (updated 4 times daily)

To retrieve previous Day 3-8 FireWX outlooks, type in the date you wish to retrieve in YYMMDD (e.g., 060205 for Feb. 5, 2006).
Data available since January 1, 2006.
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Page last modified: October 01, 2014
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