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< Day 2 FW Outlook    
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Issued on May 4, 2016
Updated: Wed May 4 19:14:02 UTC 2016  (Print Version)
Note: Fire weather probabilistic information in MS-Word or PDF.
Note: Through September 29, 2015 the SPC will issue Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Dry Thunder and Strong Wind Outlooks for Days 3 to 8 with individual web graphics. Mouse over or click on the tabs above the graphic to view daily Probabilistic Dry Thunder (DryT) and Strong Wind (Wind) Fire Weather Outlooks. Please read the Product Description Document (PDD) and provide feedback using this link: "http://www.weather.gov/survey/nws-survey.php?code=spc38firewx.
Categorical D3-8 FW Otlk D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Exp. DryT/LowRH/Wind D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Population Cities CWAs Interstates Counties FEMA Regions

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
D3 34,887 807,368 El Paso, TX...Las Cruces, NM...Alamogordo, NM...Douglas, AZ...Deming, NM...
D4 22,047 171,763 Roswell, NM...Carlsbad, NM...Portales, NM...Artesia, NM...Lovington, NM...
D5 22,047 171,763 Roswell, NM...Carlsbad, NM...Portales, NM...Artesia, NM...Lovington, NM...
D3Fri, May 06, 2016 - Sat, May 07, 2016 D6Mon, May 09, 2016 - Tue, May 10, 2016
D4Sat, May 07, 2016 - Sun, May 08, 2016 D7Tue, May 10, 2016 - Wed, May 11, 2016
D5Sun, May 08, 2016 - Mon, May 09, 2016 D8Wed, May 11, 2016 - Thu, May 12, 2016
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 041912

   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0212 PM CDT WED MAY 04 2016

   VALID 061200Z - 121200Z

   ZONES OF ENHANCED LOW/MID-LEVEL FLOW ATTENDANT TO A SLOW-MOVING
   MID-LEVEL CYCLONE WILL OVERLIE A DRY BOUNDARY LAYER ACROSS PORTIONS
   OF THE SWRN QUARTER OF THE CONUS...ENHANCING THE FIRE-WEATHER
   POTENTIAL FROM D3/FRI THROUGH D6/MON. PROBABILISTIC DELINEATIONS ARE
   IN EFFECT FOR EACH OF THESE DAYS...AS SUPPORTED BY THE LATEST
   CONSENSUS AMONGST DETERMINISTIC/ENSEMBLE MODEL GUIDANCE. CRITICAL
   AREAS ARE IN EFFECT ACROSS PARTS OF CNTRL/SWRN/S-CNTRL NM AND FAR
   SERN AZ ON D3/FRI...AND ACROSS PARTS OF SERN NM ON D4/SAT AND
   D5/SUN. THESE CRITICAL AREAS INDICATE THE LOCATIONS/DAYS OF GREATEST
   POTENTIAL FOR CRITICAL FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS AMIDST DRY FUELS.
   ADJUSTMENTS TO THESE AREAS MAY BE NECESSARY IN SUBSEQUENT OUTLOOKS
   AS ADDITIONAL GUIDANCE BECOMES AVAILABLE. RELATIVELY LESS-FAVORABLE
   FUELS FOR FIRE SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF W TX AND NRN AZ/NM PRECLUDE
   HIGHER OUTLOOK PROBABILITIES IN THESE AREAS...DESPITE THE POTENTIAL
   FOR ELEVATED TO CRITICAL METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS.

   ..COHEN.. 05/04/2016

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

   $$

   CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT
      
Fire Wx Graphics | Links | Product Info | Fire Weather Composite Maps (updated 4 times daily)

To retrieve previous Day 3-8 FireWX outlooks, type in the date you wish to retrieve in YYMMDD (e.g., 060205 for Feb. 5, 2006).
Data available since January 1, 2006.
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Page last modified: May 04, 2016
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