Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Created: Fri Feb 9 15:42:03 UTC 2018 ( | )
Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL FNUS21 KWNS 091540 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0940 AM CST Fri Feb 09 2018 Valid 091700Z - 101200Z The previous forecast is on track and no changes are needed. See discussion below for details. ..Leitman.. 02/09/2018 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0150 AM CST Fri Feb 09 2018/ ...Synopsis... Quasi-zonal flow should transition to broadly cyclonic over the CONUS today as a shortwave trough moves southeastward over the Pacific Northwest. Mid-level westerly flow should gradually strengthen over the southern High Plains by this evening. At the surface, an area of low pressure will deepen over the central/southern High Plains, with lee troughing extending southward from this low across eastern NM. A cold front will move southward across the central/southern Plains through the period. ...Portions of the Southern High Plains... In response to a strengthening surface pressure gradient and modestly increasing mid-level westerly winds, sustained surface winds around 15 to locally 20 mph appear likely across part of eastern NM into west TX this afternoon. Downslope warming/drying at low levels will reduce RH values into generally the 10-20% range for a few hours through peak heating. Coupled with dry/dormant fuels, these expected meteorological conditions support an elevated designation across this region. The lack of even stronger forecast winds precludes a critical area. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Fire Weather/Forecast Products/Home