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    Day 2 FW Outlook >
Jan 19, 2017 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Updated: Thu Jan 19 16:29:03 UTC 2017 (Print Version | 20170119 1700Z Day 1 FireWX shapefile | 20170119 1700Z Day 1 FireWX KML)
Day 1 Fire
 Population  Cities/Towns  CWAs  Interstates  Counties  FEMA Regions  Day 1 Surface Analysis

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   FNUS21 KWNS 191624

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1024 AM CST Thu Jan 19 2017

   Valid 191700Z - 201200Z


   Ongoing forecast is on track with no changes needed.  Gusty westerly
   winds and 20-25 percent RH will foster elevated atmospheric fire
   weather conditions, although fuels are still drying from recent
   rains across the region.  For more information, see the previous
   forecast below.

   ..Cook.. 01/19/2017

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1222 AM CST Thu Jan 19 2017/

   As a mid-level shortwave trough translates around the southeastern
   periphery of a closed low over the central Plains, the low will
   gradually open into a negatively tilted trough over the mid
   Mississippi Valley. Farther west, an impulse and related jet streak
   will push ashore the southern California coast, resulting in the
   larger-scale western trough evolving eastward across portions of the
   Great Basin.

   ...Portions of eastern NM and western TX...
   At the surface, lee troughing will organize over much of the high
   Plains. Across the OK/TX panhandles, it will intersect a weak
   trough/front that extends eastward across northern OK and southern
   KS. To the south across eastern NM and western TX, a tighter
   pressure gradient will favor sustained westerly winds around 20-30
   mph, with higher gusts. Downslope drying will encourage RH values
   falling into the 20-25 percent range, with locally drier conditions.
   As such, pockets of elevated concerns may materialize. However,
   marginal fuel conditions should temper the threat enough to preclude
   more widespread elevated concerns.

   ...Please see for graphic product...

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