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    Day 2 FW Outlook >
Sep 15, 2014 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Updated: Mon Sep 15 08:29:02 UTC 2014 (Print Version | 20140915 1200Z Day 1 FireWX shapefile | 20140915 1200Z Day 1 FireWX KML)
Day 1 Fire
 Population  Cities/Towns  CWAs  Interstates  Counties  FEMA Regions  Day 1 Surface Analysis

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 150828

   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0328 AM CDT MON SEP 15 2014

   VALID 151200Z - 161200Z

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A LARGE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL COVER MUCH OF THE EAST WITH AN UPPER
   RIDGE OVER THE INTERIOR OF THE WEST.  AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
   WILL MOVE NNEWD ALONG WITH OREGON/WA COAST AND WILL WEAKEN WITH
   TIME.  A WEAK COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE HIGH WILL MOVE INTO
   THE CNTRL PLAINS.

   ...A SMALL PORTION OF NRN CA AND SWRN/CNTRL OREGON...
   ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THIS AREA...MAINLY
   FROM MID TO LATE AFTERNOON...INTO THE EVENING AS THE UPPER LEVEL
   DISTURBANCE MOVES NNEWD ALONG THE COAST OF OREGON/WA.  

   FUELS REMAIN VERY DRY AND HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 80S AND
   90S WITH HUMIDITY FROM 15 TO 20 PERCENT.  FUELS CONTINUE TO DRY OUT
   WITH THE HOT/DRY CONDITIONS.  AT THIS TIME...MOISTURE IS FORECAST TO
   REMAIN MARGINAL AND INSTABILITY SHOULD REMAIN LOW WITH 200 TO 300
   J/KG MUCAPE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA.  FORECAST MODEL SOUNDINGS
   INDICATE HIGH CLOUD BASES WITH DRY SUB-CLOUD AIR.  PRECIPITABLE
   WATER IS ALSO FAIRLY LOW...AOB 0.75 INCH.  CONVECTION ALLOWING
   MODELS POINT TO MORE ISOLATED CONVECTION AND THEREFORE WILL CONTINUE
   THE FORECAST FOR ONLY ISOLATED DRY STORMS AT THIS TIME. 

   ...PORTIONS OF SRN CA...
   IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE VERY HOT ACROSS MUCH OF INLAND SRN CA THIS
   AFTERNOON ALTHOUGH THERE WILL BE A VERY SLIGHT INCREASE IN THE
   HUMIDITY COMPARED TO SUNDAY...REMAINING NEAR 20 PERCENT DURING THE
   AFTERNOON.  HIGHER ELEVATIONS HAVE CONTINUED TO HAVE A POOR
   OVERNIGHT HUMIDITY RECOVERY.  LARGE SCALE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
   REMAIN LIGHT WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS CONTROLLED BY HEATING AND
   TERRAIN INFLUENCES.

   ALSO A FEW ISOLATED STORMS MAY OCCUR WITH AFTERNOON HEATING ALTHOUGH
   COVERAGE SHOULD REMAIN VERY LOW.

   ..BOTHWELL.. 09/15/2014

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

   CLICK FOR DAY 1 FIREWX AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT (KWNSPFWFD1)
      
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Page last modified: September 15, 2014
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