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    Day 2 FW Outlook >
May 28, 2015 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Updated: Thu May 28 16:54:02 UTC 2015 (Print Version | 20150528 1700Z Day 1 FireWX shapefile | 20150528 1700Z Day 1 FireWX KML)
Day 1 Fire
 Population  Cities/Towns  CWAs  Interstates  Counties  FEMA Regions  Day 1 Surface Analysis

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 281650

   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1150 AM CDT THU MAY 28 2015

   VALID 281700Z - 291200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   NO CHANGES...SEE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION BELOW.

   ..DEAN.. 05/28/2015

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0322 AM CDT THU MAY 28 2015/

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE EWD OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST
   TODAY...WHILE ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES FROM THE NRN
   INTERMOUNTAIN REGION TO THE NRN/CNTRL ROCKIES. UPPER RIDGING WILL
   BECOME ESTABLISHED OVER MUCH OF THE ERN CONUS. AT THE SFC...A LOW
   WILL LIKELY DEEPEN OVER ERN CO/WRN KS THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF BOTH
   UPPER TROUGHS. A LEE SFC TROUGH/DRYLINE SHOULD EXTEND SWWD FROM THIS
   LOW ACROSS ERN NM AND FAR W TX. FURTHER E...HIGH PRESSURE WILL
   REMAIN OVER THE WRN ATLANTIC...WITH ELY LOW-LEVEL FLOW OCCURRING
   OVER THE FL PENINSULA.

   ...PORTIONS OF AZ AND NM...
   BEHIND A SFC TROUGH/DRYLINE...RH VALUES OF LESS THAN 15 PERCENT WILL
   LIKELY OCCUR ACROSS MUCH OF AZ AND NM THIS AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATURES
   GENERALLY WARM INTO THE 80S AND 90S. HOWEVER...SIMILAR TO
   YESTERDAY...SFC WINDS SHOULD NOT EXCEED 15 MPH ACROSS THIS REGION
   EXCEPT ON AN ISOLATED/BRIEF BASIS OWING MAINLY TO A WEAK SFC
   PRESSURE GRADIENT. THEREFORE...NO ELEVATED AREA IS NEEDED ACROSS
   AZ/NM AT THIS TIME.

   ...PORTIONS OF INTERIOR SRN FL PENINSULA...
   ELY LOW-LEVEL FLOW ON THE SRN PERIPHERY OF A SFC HIGH CENTERED OVER
   THE WRN ATLANTIC WILL BRING DRIER AIR ACROSS PORTIONS OF INTERIOR
   SRN FL PENINSULA TODAY. AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 80S...DIURNAL
   MIXING OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER SHOULD REDUCE RH VALUES TO 30-40
   PERCENT ACROSS THIS REGION FOR A FEW HOURS THIS AFTERNOON.
   HOWEVER...BOTH WINDS ALOFT AND AT THE SFC ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
   RATHER WEAK...WITH SUSTAINED LOW-LEVEL ELY FLOW AROUND 10-15
   MPH...AND A FEW SFC GUSTS ABOVE 15 MPH POSSIBLE. GIVEN MARGINAL FUEL
   DRYNESS...WINDS FORECAST TO GENERALLY REMAIN BELOW 15 MPH...AND
   AFTER COORDINATION WITH THE FORECAST OFFICE IN MIAMI...AN ELEVATED
   AREA HAS NOT BEEN INTRODUCED FOR THIS REGION.

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

   CLICK FOR DAY 1 FIREWX AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT (KWNSPFWFD1)
      
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Page last modified: May 28, 2015
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