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Jan 19, 2017 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Updated: Thu Jan 19 16:29:03 UTC 2017 (Print Version | 20170119 2000Z Day 2 FireWX shapefile | 20170119 2000Z Day 2 FireWX KML)
Day 2 Fire
 Population  Cities/Towns  CWAs  Interstates  Counties  FEMA Regions  Day 2 Surface Analysis

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   FNUS22 KWNS 191625

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1025 AM CST Thu Jan 19 2017

   Valid 201200Z - 211200Z


   Ongoing forecast is on track with no changes needed.  A broad area
   of 25-35 mph westerly low-level flow (with higher gusts) and 25-35
   percent RH values will develop in the western half of Texas and
   eastern New Mexico during the afternoon and early evening.  A second
   day of drying fuels under this synoptic regime may result in
   locally/briefly elevated fire weather conditions across the area. 
   See the previous forecast for more information.

   ..Cook.. 01/19/2017

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1222 AM CST Thu Jan 19 2017/

   While one mid-level impulse lifts northeast across the central
   Plains, another will move onshore the central/southern California
   coast. In response, broad cyclonic flow aloft should overspread the
   western two-thirds of the contiguous US. The surface pattern will
   feature a cyclone lifting northeast from OK towards the mid Missouri
   Valley. Farther west, a cold front will push eastward across
   southern CA and AZ.

   ...Portions of the southern Plains...
   Related to the central US impulse, a channel of strong
   west/southwesterly flow aloft will overspread west TX and much of
   OK. This enhanced flow will combine with a tight surface pressure
   gradient to encourage southwesterly winds around 25-35 mph
   sustained. While these winds may promote some elevated fire-weather
   concerns, surface temperatures in the windiest areas will likely
   remain in the 50s/60s, as modest cooling aloft occurs. In turn, RH
   values are likely to remain above 20-25 percent in most locations.
   Considering the marginal state of fuels, these meteorological
   conditions do not warrant an elevated area at this time.

   ...Please see for graphic product...


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