Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap


 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

Mesoscale Discussion 89
< Previous MD         Next MD >
MD 89 graphic

   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0089
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0429 PM CST WED FEB 03 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...SERN GA / SC LOW COUNTRY

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 032229Z - 032330Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...THE POTENTIAL FOR A SUPERCELL TORNADO OR TWO WILL CONTINUE
   OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO FROM SERN GA INTO THE LOWER SAVANNAH RIVER
   VALLEY.

   DISCUSSION...RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS A CLUSTER OF SUPERCELLS OVER SERN
   GA AND NEARING THE GREATER SAV AREA AHEAD OF A SEWD-SAGGING QLCS. 
   STRONG DEEP-LAYER SHEAR COUPLED WITH SUFFICIENT BUOYANCY WILL
   SUPPORT UPDRAFT ROTATION WITH THE STRONGER CELLS OVER THE NEXT 1-2
   HOURS.  LOW-LEVEL MESOCYCLONE POTENTIAL WILL PROBABLY MAXIMIZE
   DURING THIS PERIOD OWING TO SURFACE OBSERVATIONS OF 80/70 ON THE
   IMMEDIATE INFLOW TO THE S OF THE ONGOING SUPERCELL CLUSTER BEFORE
   DIURNAL HEAT LOSS THIS EVENING.  AS STORMS TRACK NEWD TO THE
   SAVANNAH RIVER...COOLER TEMPS /LOW TO MID 70S/ MAY IN TURN PROVE
   LESS FAVORABLE BUOYANCY-WISE BUT ADEQUATELY LARGE CLOCKWISE-CURVED
   HODOGRAPHS /0-3 KM SRH AROUND 200 M2 PER S2 VIA THE KCLX VAD/ MAY
   ALLOW SOME TORNADO RISK TO MOVE INTO THE SC LOW COUNTRY VICINITY.

   ..SMITH/EDWARDS.. 02/03/2016


   ATTN...WFO...CHS...JAX...FFC...

   LAT...LON   31718259 32568128 32448095 32098085 31868103 31488238
               31718259 

Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
spc.feedback@noaa.gov
Page last modified: February 03, 2016
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Help
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities