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Mesoscale Discussion 94
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0094
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0303 PM CST Sat Jan 21 2017

   Areas affected...the eastern FL panhandle into parts of northern FL

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 14...

   Valid 212103Z - 212200Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 14 continues.

   SUMMARY...Occasional strong wind gusts may continue across the watch
   area and perhaps into parts of northern FL. The overall severe
   threat appears to be diminishing however, and a downstream watch is
   not expected at this time.

   DISCUSSION...Storms will continue to slowly progress east through
   the remainder of the afternoon. Some gusty winds will be possible
   given strong flow just off the surface, but overall severe threat
   appears to be diminishing for now. Latest mesoanalysis indicates
   weak instability with cloud cover resulting in at least weak
   inhibition. Additionally, deep layer forcing for ascent is rather
   weak as initial shortwave impulse driving convection early today is
   lifting northeast into the central Appalachians at this time. A
   downstream watch is not expected, but trends will continue to be
   monitored.

   ..Leitman.. 01/21/2017


   ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...

   LAT...LON   30008545 30528452 30618428 30668339 30518212 30228210
               29938243 29668286 29498348 29438435 29458511 29608548
               30008545 

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Page last modified: January 21, 2017
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