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Mesoscale Discussion 103
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0103
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1149 PM CST Sat Jan 21 2017

   Areas affected...portions of central and southern
   Alabama...southwest Georgia...and the Florida Panhandle

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 17...18...

   Valid 220549Z - 220745Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 17, 18 continues.

   SUMMARY...Severe weather risk -- including some tornado potential --
   continues.

   DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows widespread convection -- with
   local/embedded severe storms -- ongoing across parts of central and
   southern Alabama and into portions of Georgia and the Florida
   Panhandle (in and near Tornado Watch 18).  Overall convective trends
   have been downward, with the stronger convection now almost entirely
   north of the warm front (which currently extends from central MS
   southeast to the FL/AL border and east across southern GA).

   With that said, an increase in northeast-moving cellular convection
   is noted south of the warm front over the northern Gulf/east of the
   LA coast, with some lightning now observed over the FL Panhandle
   area as cells near the frontal zone.  While low-level flow south of
   the warm front has veered, some tornado risk may exist as these
   storms cross the warm front.  Elsewhere/farther north, risk for a
   tornado or two, along with potential for local wind damage and
   marginal hail, will continue over the next 1-2 hours.

   ..Goss.. 01/22/2017


   ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...JAN...

   LAT...LON   33328838 33308750 32598491 31748386 30888447 30638621
               30588767 31548859 32228859 33328838 

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