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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0112
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0240 AM CST THU JAN 31 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF THE ERN SHORE OF MD/VA...FAR SERN VA AND
FAR ERN NC
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 27...
VALID 310840Z - 310945Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 27 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...STRONG DAMAGING WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE COASTAL
WATERS ALONG THE ERN SHORE OF MD/VA AND FAR SERN VA...AND THE
COASTAL AREAS/WATERS OF FAR ERN NC THROUGH 09-0930Z...WITH THE NC
OUTER BANKS BEING THE LAST LAND AREA TO EXPERIENCE THE STRONG WIND
THREAT THROUGH 0930Z.
DISCUSSION...FAST MOVING...LOW-TOPPED SQUALL LINE /ENEWD AT 40-45
KT/ HAS CONTINUED TO PRODUCE STRONG WIND GUSTS WITHIN THE PAST HOUR
WITH THE PASSAGE OF THIS LINE /65 KT AT KLFI AT 0728Z...53 KT AT
KORF AT 0753Z...57 KT AT KNTU AT 0757Z/. THE LACK OF GREATER
INSTABILITY IS INHIBITING THE PRODUCTION OF LIGHTNING. HOWEVER...
FORCING WITH THE NEGATIVELY-TILTED MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TRACKING
NEWD THROUGH THE MID ATLANTIC STATES AND DEEP LAYER WIND FIELDS
BECOMING ORIENTED MORE PERPENDICULAR TO THE LINE IS MAINTAINING THE
FAST MOVEMENT. AREA WSR-88D VWP DATA SHOWED 50-70 KT WINDS AT 0.5 TO
1 KM AGL. THIS HIGH MOMENTUM AIR COMBINED WITH THE SPEED OF THE LINE
WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS AS THE LINE
PROGRESSES EWD OFFSHORE AND THROUGH THE COASTAL WATERS.
..PETERS.. 01/31/2013
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...
LAT...LON 34237646 35027645 35367624 35787599 36197575 36807559
37917526 38437509 38367471 37637496 36927541 36077520
35637497 35237504 34937521 34517580 34237646
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