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Mesoscale Discussion 125
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0125
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0721 PM CST Sun Jan 22 2017

   Areas affected...Central and southern Florida

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 23...

   Valid 230121Z - 230315Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 23 continues.

   SUMMARY...Severe/tornado risk continues across central
   Florida/Tornado Watch 23, and will gradually spread/expand southward
   across the remainder of the Peninsula and Keys over the next several
   hours.  A new Tornado Watch will eventually be needed.

   DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a band of severe storms
   extending from Volusia County southwest to the Tampa Bay area, and
   more isolated storms ahead of the main band, moving quickly
   northeastward.  Several of these storms -- both within the line and
   ahead of it -- remain supercellular, which should remain the case
   over the next several hours given the favorable kinematic and
   thermodynamic environment revealed by this evening's RAOBs.  While
   overall risk has diminished somewhat -- such that the next watch
   will likely not require PDS wording, potential for tornadoes, along
   with damaging wind and hail risk, will likely continue into the
   overnight hours.

   ..Goss.. 01/23/2017


   ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...KEY...TBW...JAX...

   LAT...LON   27078284 27518277 29438106 29398073 26967985 25487999
               24828056 24358202 24738219 25358148 25778189 26398237
               27078284 

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Page last modified: January 23, 2017
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