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| Mesoscale Discussion 137 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0137
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0646 AM CST SUN FEB 10 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF SRN AND CNTRL MN...ERN SD AND FAR SE ND
CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW
VALID 101246Z - 101845Z
SUMMARY...SNOWFALL WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE/INTENSITY THROUGH
MIDDAY. RATES MAY APPROACH 1-1.5 INCHES PER HOUR AT TIMES.
ADDITIONALLY...SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW DUE TO BREEZY ELY
WINDS WILL RESULT IN REDUCED VISIBILITY AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL
CONDITIONS.
DISCUSSION...THE SFC LOW OVER SW NEB HAS BEGUN TO LIFT NEWD INTO
CNTRL NEB THE LAST COUPLE OF HOURS. AS THE LOW CONTINUES TO TRACK
TOWARD NW IA/SRN MN...BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL FILL IN
ACROSS THE MCD AREA...AS FAVORABLE DEFORMATION ZONE SHIFTS EWD.
SNOWFALL RATES WILL FIRST INCREASE ACROSS ERN SD INTO SW MN THROUGH
15Z THIS MORNING. THEREAFTER...HIGHER RATES/HEAVIER SNOW BAND SHOULD
PIVOT NORTHWARD TOWARD CENTRAL MN...INCLUDING THE TWIN CITIES METRO
AREA. AT LEAST SOME WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY THROUGH FAVORABLE
DENDRITIC GROWTH LAYER IS EVIDENT IN FORECAST SOUNDINGS AND RECENT
LIGHTNING STRIKES ACROSS FAR N-CNTRL IA CONFIRM THIS. AS
SUCH...CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED SNOW BANDS MAY RESULT IN RATES OF 1-1.5
INCHES AN HOUR AT TIMES. ADDITIONALLY...BREEZY ELY SFC WINDS AROUND
15-25 MPH WILL LEAD TO BLOWING/DRIFTING SNOW AND REDUCE VISIBILITIES
OF LESS THAN 1/2 MILE...CREATING HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.
..LEITMAN.. 02/10/2013
ATTN...WFO...DLH...ARX...MPX...FGF...FSD...ABR...
LAT...LON 43489624 43279668 43369730 43879787 44349803 45499782
45749767 46229737 46489696 46709624 46799547 46689423
46259301 45689205 44929171 44409188 44149304 43949405
43719541 43489624
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