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Mesoscale Discussion 148
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0148
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0155 AM CST MON FEB 11 2013
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEAST MS/SOUTHERN AL
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 
   
   VALID 110755Z - 110930Z
   
   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT
   
   SUMMARY...POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR AT LEAST LOCALIZED WIND DAMAGE ACROSS
   SOUTHEAST MS INTO SOUTHERN AL OVERNIGHT. REPETITIVE/LOCALLY HEAVY
   RAINFALL WILL ALSO REMAIN A CONCERN OVERNIGHT.
   
   DISCUSSION...SHOWERS/TSTMS HAVE REMAINED PERSISTENT NEAR/IMMEDIATELY
   NORTH OF AN WSW-ENE ORIENTED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ACROSS SOUTHERN
   PORTIONS OF MS/AL...THAT ROUGHLY EXTENDS FROM NEAR HATTIESBURG MS
   INTO SOUTHWEST/SOUTH-CENTRAL AL. A RECENT RENEWED UPSWING IN
   CONVECTIVE INTENSITY HAS OCCURRED WITHIN THIS CORRIDOR...WHICH IS
   LIKELY BEING AIDED BY LOW-LEVEL CONFLUENCE/WARM ADVECTION. EVEN
   WHILE THESE STORMS WILL TEND TO REMAIN FOCUSED IMMEDIATELY NORTH OF
   PRIOR OUTFLOW...CONTINUED CONGEALING OF UPDRAFTS AND STRONG/NEARLY
   UNIDIRECTIONAL DEEP LAYER FLOW MAY PROMOTE SOME ORGANIZED/FORWARD
   PROPAGATING LINEAR STRUCTURES OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF FAR
   SOUTHEAST MS INTO SOUTHWEST/SOUTH-CENTRAL AL. AT LEAST LOCALIZED
   WIND DAMAGE WILL BE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE POSSIBILITY OF
   SMALL BOWING SEGMENTS. HEAVY/REPETITIVE RAINFALL WILL ALSO REMAIN A
   CONCERN.
   
   ..GUYER/CORFIDI.. 02/11/2013
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...
   
   LAT...LON   31168996 31728921 32148713 31968622 31208706 30978909
               31168996 
   
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Page last modified: February 11, 2013
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