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Mesoscale Discussion 165
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0165
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0432 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...+PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MS AND FAR
   EAST-CENTRAL AR

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 10...

   VALID 312132Z - 312230Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 10
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...LARGE HAIL TO BASEBALL SIZE WILL CONTINUE TO BE A THREAT
   ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MS THE NEXT 2-3 HOURS. THE
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH WILL BE EXTENDED ON THE SOUTHWEST
   SIDE...INCLUDING YAZOO...HUMPHREYS AND SHARKEY COUNTIES.

   DISCUSSION...LARGE HAIL WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH
   STORMS ACROSS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 10. RADAR DATA INDICATED TWO
   CELLS IN NORTHWESTERN MS...ONE IN COAHOMA AND ONE IN BOLIVAR
   COUNTY...COULD BE PRODUCING HAIL BETWEEN 1.5 TO 2.5 INCHES...AND
   RECENT REPORTS INDICATE THAT GOLF BALL TO BASEBALL SIZE HAIL HAS IN
   FACT OCCURRED WITH THESE CELLS OVER THE LAST 30 MINUTES. 21Z
   MESOANALYSIS INDICATED THAT CINH INCREASES TO THE SOUTH WHERE SFC
   DEWPOINTS ARE LOWER AND SHEAR DECREASES QUICKLY. HOWEVER...THE
   SEVERE THREAT MAY EXTENDED OUTSIDE THE CURRENT WATCH AREA BY A FEW
   COUNTIES ON THE SOUTHWEST SIDE AND A LOCAL AERIAL EXTENSION WILL BE
   MADE BY WFO JAN PER COLLABORATION. THE SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE
   FOR A FEW MORE HOURS AND SHOULD GRADUALLY WANE AS SUNSET OCCURS AND
   BOUNDARY LAYER COOLING ENSUES.

   ..LEITMAN.. 03/31/2015


   ATTN...WFO...BMX...MEG...JAN...LZK...

   LAT...LON   34299107 34709104 34408827 32978830 32749009 32829118
               34299107 

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Page last modified: March 31, 2015
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