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Mesoscale Discussion 165
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0165
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0212 AM CST Thu Feb 09 2017

   Areas affected...Southeast Georgia into eastern South Carolina and
   southeast North Carolina

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 090812Z - 091015Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Isolated strong storms are likely this morning across
   southeast Georgia, South Carolina and eventually southeast North
   Carolina with a threat of marginal wind or hail.

   DISCUSSION...A fast-moving line of storms currently extends from
   central SC into southeast GA along a cold front with a deepening
   surface trough. Wind profiles as seen on VWPs are extremely strong,
   with long, straight hodographs. Surface analysis shows lower 60s
   dewpoints ahead of this line, which will continue to support a few
   strong updrafts. However, the very strong deep-layer shear is
   currently resulting in highly tilted storms structures. Given the
   very strong mean wind speeds, it is possible that some of the storms
   could pose a damaging wind threat before exiting land. Small hail is
   also possible, with any severe hail being marginal and very
   isolated.

   ..Jewell/Guyer.. 02/09/2017


   ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...

   LAT...LON   32158251 32638197 33268111 34038007 34457932 34797850
               35017773 34937714 34587685 33827797 33367879 32408002
               31938078 31758143 31858209 32158251 

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Page last modified: February 09, 2017
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