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Mesoscale Discussion 210
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0210
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1115 PM CDT SUN APR 05 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN TX

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 060415Z - 060645Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...ISOLATED HAIL WILL CONTINUE ACROSS FAR SWRN TX LATE THIS
   EVENING. HOWEVER...A WATCH IS NOT EXPECTED.

   DISCUSSION...STORMS HAVE FORMED OVER THE BIG BEND AREA IN RESPONSE
   TO A WEAK MIDLEVEL FEATURE MOVING OUT OF MEXICO WITH STEEP LAPSE
   RATES ALOFT AND FAVORABLE DEEP-LAYER SHEAR. THESE CELLS MAY PERSIST
   NEWD FOR A FEW HOURS IN AN ELEVATED SENSE WITH A PERSISTENT SLY
   LOW-LEVEL JET AND THETA-E PLUME AT 850 MB...BUT COVERAGE OF SEVERE
   HAIL SHOULD REMAIN ISOLATED AT BEST.

   ..JEWELL/MEAD.. 04/06/2015


   ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF...

   LAT...LON   29630468 30900223 30980113 30600047 30080052 29560139
               29700183 29680224 29530264 29040285 28880312 29000351
               29240407 29630468 

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Page last modified: April 06, 2015
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