MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0228
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0816 PM CST MON FEB 25 2013
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...S-CNTRL KS NEWD INTO NERN KS/WRN MO
   
   CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW 
   
   VALID 260216Z - 260815Z
   
   SUMMARY...HEAVY SNOWFALL RATES AROUND 1 INCH/HR WILL BECOME
   INCREASINGLY WIDESPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF S-CNTRL KS NEWD ALONG THE
   I-35 CORRIDOR PRIMARILY BEGINNING IN THE 03-04Z TIMEFRAME IN NERN KS
   AND CONTINUING INTO THE OVERNIGHT.
   
   DISCUSSION...SURFACE TEMPS AT 02Z CONTINUE TO HOVER AROUND OR
   SLIGHTLY ABOVE FREEZING FROM S-CNTRL KS NEWD INTO THE KC METRO AREA.
   HEAVY SNOWFALL RATES 1 TO PERHAPS LOCALLY 1.5 INCH PER HOUR WILL BE
   POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS S-CNTRL KS.  RADAR TRENDS
   OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS SHOW CONVECTIVE SHOWERS OVER NERN OK/FAR
   SERN KS...MOVING WWD AND LIKELY ACTING TO AUGMENT SNOWFALL RATES. 
   FARTHER NE...ADDITIONAL COOLING AT THE SURFACE IS LIKELY OVER THE
   NEXT SEVERAL HOURS OVER NERN KS AND ADJACENT PORTIONS OF WRN MO...AS
   GREATER PRECIPITATION RATES DEVELOP AND A RAIN SHIELD MOVES NNWWD
   INTO E-CNTRL KS AND W-CNTRL MO.  THIS SHOULD PROMOTE THE GRADUAL
   CHANGEOVER TO SNOW ACROSS NERN KS AND W-CNTRL MO WITH TIME.  MODEL
   GUIDANCE INDICATES A ZONE OF MID LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS WILL ALIGN
   SW-NE...GENERALLY INVOF THE I-35 CORRIDOR IN NERN KS INTO NRN MO. 
   THIS FAVORED ZONE OF MID-LEVEL ASCENT...COMBINED WITH ISENTROPIC
   LIFT BECOMING MAXIMIZED ACROSS THIS AREA IN THE 03-09Z PERIOD...WILL
   FAVOR A PROLONGED DURATION OF HEAVIER SNOWFALL RATES.
   
   ..SMITH.. 02/26/2013
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...EAX...TOP...ICT...DDC...
   
   LAT...LON   39009391 37079700 37029771 37179836 37659835 39589495
               39659422 39399375 39009391