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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0232
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0519 AM CST TUE FEB 26 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...NRN FL INTO SERN GA
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 45...
VALID 261119Z - 261315Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 45 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...A THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES CONTINUES ACROSS
WW 45...AND MAY INCREASE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF NRN FL..W CNTRL
FL...AND FAR SERN GA LATER THIS MORNING. A NEW WW IS LIKELY.
DISCUSSION...A BROKEN LINE OF STORMS WITH A FEW SUPERCELLS CONTINUES
TO MOVE RAPIDLY EWD ACROSS THE ERN FL PANHANDLE AND EXTENDS SWD INTO
THE ERN GULF OF MEXICO. SHEAR PROFILES REMAIN VERY STRONG AREA-WIDE
AND SHOULD FAVOR THE CONTINUANCE OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS.
THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES ARE MIXED. CURRENTLY...THE AIR OVER NRN
INLAND FL AND SERN GA IS RELATIVELY STABLE WITH EFFECTIVE INFLOW
ABOVE THE SURFACE. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT THE WARMER AIR
OVER CNTRL FL AS WELL AS OVER THE WATER IS BUOYANT ENOUGH FOR
SURFACE BASED PARCELS AND THUS A THREAT OF TORNADOES WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 70S F.
AS STORMS CONTINUE EWD...GRADUAL WARMING THROUGH ADVECTION MAY
EVENTUALLY DESTABILIZE NRN AREAS SUFFICIENTLY FOR A SEVERE THREAT.
HIGHER THETA-E AIR ALSO EXISTS JUST OFF THE GA COAST...AND ALSO HAS
THE POTENTIAL TO ENHANCE SEVERE ALONG THE GA/NRN FL COAST.
..JEWELL.. 02/26/2013
ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...TAE...
LAT...LON 27408276 27618285 27938295 28158293 28658284 28978287
29098304 29258311 30368296 30888284 31328234 31288162
31178130 30648127 29838113 27748198 27278247 27408276
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