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Mesoscale Discussion 232
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0232
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1251 PM CDT WED APR 08 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...WV...FAR ERN KY...WRN VA

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 33...

   VALID 081751Z - 081915Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 33
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS WV. A
   DOWNSTREAM WATCH ACROSS ERN WV AND FAR WRN VA IS POSSIBLE BUT
   UNCERTAINTY REGARDING STORM STRENGTH AS IT MOVE OUT OF THE CURRENT
   WATCH PRECLUDE HIGH WATCH PROBABILITY.

   DISCUSSION...ORGANIZED MCS CONTINUES TO MOVE SEWD ACROSS WV AT ABOUT
   40 KT AND THIS CURRENT STORM MOTION TAKES THE MCS OUT OF WW 33 AT
   AROUND 19Z. THE MCS HAS PRODUCE SPORADIC SEVERE GUSTS AND WIND
   DAMAGE OVER THE PAST 2 HOURS BUT BOTH SHEAR AND INSTABILITY DECREASE
   WITH ERN EXTENT...WITH RESULTANT UNCERTAINTY ON THE NEED FOR A
   DOWNSTREAM WATCH. BACKDOOR FRONT EXTENDING FROM WRN PA SWD INTO WRN
   VA AND THEN EWD ACROSS S-CNTRL VA WILL LIKELY ACT AS DELINEATION OF
   SEVERE POTENTIAL WITH ANY SVR UNLIKELY N AND/OR E OF THE FRONT. 

   IN THE MEANTIME ACROSS WW 33...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS REMAIN THE
   PRIMARY THREAT WITH SOME OCCASIONAL HAIL ALSO POSSIBLE.

   ..MOSIER.. 04/08/2015


   ATTN...WFO...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX...MRX...JKL...ILN...

   LAT...LON   39488227 39858156 39787993 38217931 36638110 36708306
               37788372 39488227 

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Page last modified: April 08, 2015
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