MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0356
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0132 AM CST WED MAR 05 2008
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...DE/NJ/EASTERN PA INTO SOUTHERN NY/NYC METRO AREA
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 101...
   
   VALID 050732Z - 050900Z
   
   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 101
   CONTINUES.
   
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 101 CONTINUES UNTIL 10Z...WITH A PRIMARY
   RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS. MONITORING FOR A POSSIBLE ADDITIONAL WATCH
   ACROSS CENTRAL/NORTHERN NJ AND FAR EASTERN PA INTO SOUTHERN
   NY...INCLUDING THE NYC METRO AREA.
   
   STRONGLY FORCED CONVECTIVE LINE CONTINUES TO RACE EAST-NORTHEAST
   ACROSS MD/FAR EASTERN MD AS OF 07Z. THIS LINE HAS HAD A HISTORY OF
   WIND DAMAGE AND MEASURED SEVERE GUSTS ACROSS MD/VA...EVEN WITHIN AN
   AIRMASS CHARACTERIZED BY MODEST BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE/LIMITED
   CAPE. IN THE SHORT TERM...THIS STRONG/SEVERE LINE SHOULD CONTINUE TO
   THRIVE INTO SOUTHERN NJ...AND PERHAPS EVEN INTO PORTIONS OF
   CENTRAL/NORTHERN NJ AND THE NYC METRO AREA OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
   HOURS. SUCH A SCENARIO WILL BE SUPPORTED BY PRONOUNCED LARGE SCALE
   HEIGHT FALLS/SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS...WITH THE LATTER MAXIMIZED
   ACROSS NJ INTO SOUTHERN NY AS OF 07Z. AS A WARM/MOIST AIRMASS
   CONTINUES TO QUICKLY DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHERN NJ/SOUTHERN
   NY...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/NORTHERN NJ AND FAR EASTERN PA INTO THE NYC
   METRO AREA/SOUTHERN NY WILL HAVE TO BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR A
   POSSIBLE WATCH ISSUANCE...WHICH COULD BE NEEDED SOON.
   
   ..GUYER.. 03/05/2008
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...OKX...PHI...BGM...AKQ...
   
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