|
| Mesoscale Discussion 1102 |
|
< Previous MD
Next MD >
|
|
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1102
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0746 PM CDT SAT JUN 13 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...WESTERN/NORTH TX INTO WESTERN/SOUTHERN OK AND
SOUTHEAST CO/SOUTHWEST KS
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 398...399...
VALID 140046Z - 140145Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 398...399...CONTINUES.
TORNADO WATCHES 398/399 CONTINUE UNTIL 04Z/06Z RESPECTIVELY...WITH A
BROAD CORRIDOR OF SUPERCELL/SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL LIKELY TO
CONTINUE FROM SOUTHEAST CO/SOUTHWEST KS INTO WESTERN/NORTHERN TX AND
WESTERN OK THIS EVENING.
HIGHLY COMPLEX/WIDESPREAD SEVERE SCENARIO CONTINUES TO UNFOLD ACROSS
MUCH OF NORTHWEST/WEST CENTRAL TX EARLY THIS EVENING. WITHIN WW
398...THE MOST PROLIFIC STORM ACROSS THE WESTERN PART OF NORTH TX
/HASKELL AND THROCKMORTON COUNTIES AS OF 0030Z/ WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
TO DEVELOP EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AMIDST A
SOUTHEASTERLY MOIST/HIGHLY UNSTABLE INFLUX. THE 00Z FORT WORTH
OBSERVED RAOB REFLECTS VERY STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES IN EXCESS OF
8 C/KM AND A MEAN MIXING RATIO OF 17 G/KG...WHICH IS RESULTING IN
STRONG MLCAPE IN EXCESS OF 4200 J/KG. THE AFOREMENTIONED STORM WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE TO EXHIBIT SUPERCELLULAR CHARACTERISTICS WITH
ASSOCIATED TRANSIENT/RAIN EMBEDDED TORNADO POTENTIAL OVER THE NEXT
1-2 HOURS...BUT OTHERWISE...A DEVELOPING COLD POOL/CONTINUED STORM
MERGERS ARE SUGGESTIVE OF A TREND TOWARD SEVERE MCS DEVELOPMENT
ACROSS NORTH TX INTO ADJACENT PORTIONS OF WESTERN/SOUTHERN OK.
FARTHER NORTH IN TORNADO WATCH 399 ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE AND
SOUTHEAST CO/SOUTHWEST KS...OTHER SUPERCELLS WITH TORNADO/LARGE HAIL
POTENTIAL WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO DEVELOP NORTHEASTWARD/EXPAND
ACROSS THE TX/OK PANHANDLES THROUGH THE EVENING...EVENTUALLY AIDED
BY THE INCREASE OF A SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL JET ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
HIGH PLAINS. WITH 40 KT MID LEVEL ATOP MOIST/SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW IN
THE BOUNDARY LAYER...OTHER SUPERCELLS ACROSS SOUTHEAST CO WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD INTO/ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST/PERHAPS WEST CENTRAL KS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...WITH
CONTINUED LARGE HAIL/ISOLATED TORNADIC POTENTIAL.
AREAS ADJACENT TO TORNADO WATCHES 398/399...INCLUDING PORTIONS OF
WEST CENTRAL/NORTH CENTRAL TX INTO WESTERN/CENTRAL OK AND
SOUTHWEST/WEST CENTRAL KS...ARE BEING MONITORED FOR ONE OR MORE
ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR LOCAL EXTENSIONS.
..GUYER.. 06/14/2009
ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...DDC...SJT...GLD...LUB...AMA...MAF...
PUB...BOU...ABQ...
LAT...LON 38480381 39000045 35369703 32639705 31559998 32900168
35490227 38480381
|
|
Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
|
|