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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1410
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0759 PM CDT THU JUL 02 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTH CENTRAL MT
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 539...
VALID 030059Z - 030200Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 539
CONTINUES.
EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR /35-40 KT/ WILL REMAIN SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED
STORMS ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MT...GIVEN ESELY LOW LEVEL WINDS 20-30
KT PER WSR-88D VAD DATA/23Z RUC FORECAST SOUNDINGS FOR THIS REGION
BENEATH STRONGER WLY UPPER LEVEL WINDS. DESPITE THIS FAVORABLE
FACTOR...OBJECTIVE ANALYSES INDICATED INSTABILITY DIMINISHING ACROSS
SRN MT WITH A FURTHER DECREASE IN INSTABILITY EXPECTED WITH THE LOSS
OF DAYTIME HEATING. THEREFORE...OVERALL SEVERE WEATHER THREAT
SHOULD ALSO CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THIS EVENING.
..PETERS.. 07/03/2009
ATTN...WFO...BYZ...RIW...TFX...
LAT...LON 45021091 45521064 46050990 46720950 46740794 46330699
45390677 45180651 45170631 45030622 44970810 45021091
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