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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1432
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0603 PM CDT SAT JUL 04 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...NERN NV...NWRN UT...SERN ID
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 042303Z - 050000Z
ISOLD STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS...WITH PRIMARY THREATS OF DMGG WINDS/LARGE HAIL. DUE TO ISOLD
NATURE...A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED ACROSS NERN NV INTO SWRN ID AHEAD OF A
WEAK VORT MAX MOVING INTO NERN NV. ABOVE NORMAL MOISTURE AND WEAK
INSTABILITY SHOULD BE SUPPORTIVE OF ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN...ALTHOUGH DRIER AIR ADVECTING NEWD MAY LIMIT THE
TEMPORAL THREAT COMPARED TO PREVIOUS DAYS. 30 KTS EFFECTIVE SHEAR
WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF BRIEF ROTATION...ESPECIALLY IN FAVORED TERRAIN
INDUCED CIRCULATIONS. LARGE TEMPERATURE/DEW POINT SPREADS AND STEEP
LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL LEAD TO ISOLD DMGG WIND GUSTS AS
EVAPORATIVE COOLING/PRECIPITATION LOADING ENHANCES DOWNDRAFT WINDS.
DOWNDRAFTS MAY ACCELERATE INTO LOWER VALLEYS TOWARDS GREATER
INSTABILITY...AND MAY BE WELL REMOVED FROM THE PARENT STORM.
..HURLBUT.. 07/04/2009
ATTN...WFO...SLC...PIH...BOI...LKN...
LAT...LON 40241319 39601381 39421532 40001650 40841652 42281415
43011365 43411351 43621179 43081122 41861282 40981300
40241319
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