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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1718
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0145 AM CDT THU JUL 30 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...SRN OK...NRN...CNTRL/W CNTRL TX
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 637...638...
VALID 300645Z - 300815Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
637...638...CONTINUES.
AN ADDITIONAL WW MAY NOT BE NEEDED AT THE 08Z EXPIRATION OF WW 637
...PORTIONS OF WW 637 ALONG THE RED RIVER MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED
THROUGH 09-10Z...HOWEVER.
A WARMER/UNSATURATED PRE-FRONTAL LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT
...SUPPORTIVE OF STRONG CONVECTIVELY GENERATED SURFACE COLD POOL
DEVELOPMENT...IS MOSTLY CONFINED TO AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE RED
RIVER. AND...THIS IS WHERE ACCELERATION OF MERGING COLD POOLS
ASSOCIATED WITH ONGOING STORM CLUSTERS IS MOST PRONOUNCED...AIDED BY
A MODEST SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL JET ACROSS SOUTHWEST THROUGH PARTS OF
NORTHWEST TEXAS. AS THE LOW-LEVEL JET GRADUALLY VEERS TO A MORE
SOUTHWESTERLY COMPONENT ACROSS WEST CENTRAL/NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
BETWEEN NOW AND 09-10Z...DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED TO
GRADUALLY DIMINISH ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL/SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA.
..KERR.. 07/30/2009
ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...MAF...
LAT...LON 32160111 32400030 32749987 33029972 33319878 33489816
33979776 34149768 34299681 34269610 33779590 33089576
32369615 31899813 31459954 31330092 31520193 31850198
31990166 32160111
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