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    Day 2 Outlook >
Dec 3, 2016 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Dec 3 16:13:25 UTC 2016 (Print Version | 20161203 1630Z Day 1 shapefile | 20161203 1630Z Day 1 KML)
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 Forecast Discussion
   SPC AC 031613

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1013 AM CST SAT DEC 03 2016

   VALID 031630Z - 041200Z

   ...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF TX...

   ...SUMMARY...
   THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND STRONG TO
   LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTH TEXAS...THE UPPER TEXAS
   COASTAL PLAIN AND SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA.  A TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED
   OUT...BUT THIS THREAT IS MARGINAL AND ISOLATED.

   ...TEXAS...
   A BAND OF FAST SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT STRETCHES ACROSS TX TODAY...
   WHILE AN UPPER LOW DIGS SOUTHWARD INTO NORTHWEST MEXICO.  AT THE
   SURFACE...A WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY EXTENDS ALONG THE MIDDLE/UPPER TX
   GULF COAST.  SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN OCCURRING FOR THE
   PAST SEVERAL HOURS ALONG THIS BOUNDARY.  OCCASIONALLY...ISOLATED
   STORMS WILL SHOW WEAK TO MODERATE MID/LOW LEVEL ROTATION.  SURFACE
   OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THE BOUNDARY IS WITHIN A FEW MILES OF THE
   COASTLINE...AND MODEL SOLUTIONS SUGGEST VERY LITTLE INLAND
   PENETRATION BEFORE NORTHERLY WINDS BECOME DOMINANT AND FORCE THE
   BOUNDARY BACK OFFSHORE LATER THIS AFTERNOON.  THEREFORE...WILL
   MAINTAIN ONLY MARGINAL SEVERE WEATHER PROBABILITIES IN THIS REGION. 

   FARTHER WEST...A FEW STRONG STORMS MAY AFFECT PARTS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL
   AND SOUTH TX LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.  HAIL APPEARS TO BE
   THE MAIN THREAT WITH THESE STORMS...BUT ONCE AGAIN...THE RISK APPEARS
   QUITE MARGINAL.

   ..HART/MARSH.. 12/03/2016

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z

        
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Page last modified: December 03, 2016
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