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    Day 2 Outlook >
Sep 1, 2015 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Sep 1 01:09:18 UTC 2015 (Print Version | 20150901 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20150901 0100Z Day 1 KML)
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 Forecast Discussion
   SPC AC 010109

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK CORR 1
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0809 PM CDT MON AUG 31 2015

   VALID 010100Z - 011200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   CORRECTED FOR COLOR-FILL ERROR

   ...SUMMARY...
   ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED OVER THE CONTIGUOUS UNITED
   STATES TONIGHT.

   ...S-CNTRL/SERN AZ...
   SCATTERED PULSE-TYPE CONVECTION MAY YIELD STRONG WIND GUSTS WITHIN
   EMBEDDED MICROBURSTS THROUGH THIS EVENING. 00Z TUS RAOB SAMPLED
   LITTLE CHANGE FROM YESTERDAY WITH A MODESTLY UNSTABLE AND DEEP-MIXED
   BOUNDARY LAYER...BUT WITHIN EFFECTIVE SHEAR OF ONLY AROUND 10 KT.
   VWP DATA FROM KIWA CONFIRMS THE WEAK 0-6 KM SHEAR ENVIRONMENT
   EXTENDS NW TO THE PHOENIX METRO. WHILE THE LARGEST SURFACE
   TEMPERATURE/DEW POINT SPREADS PERSIST WITHIN THIS AREA...THE WRN
   EXTENT OF CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY ALONG
   THE AZ/SONORA BORDER IS SOMEWHAT LESS THAN ON SUN EVENING. WHILE A
   HIGHLY LOCALIZED DAMAGING WIND EVENT IS NOT ENTIRELY
   NEGLIGIBLE...THE SMALL PROBABILITY OF THIS OCCURRING APPEARS TOO LOW
   TO WARRANT CONTINUING A MARGINAL RISK DELINEATION.

   ..GRAMS.. 09/01/2015

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z

        
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Page last modified: September 01, 2015
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