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    Day 2 Outlook >
Mar 26, 2015 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Thu Mar 26 01:00:34 UTC 2015 (Print Version | 20150326 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20150326 0100Z Day 1 KML)
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 Forecast Discussion
   SPC AC 260100

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0800 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

   VALID 260100Z - 261200Z

   ...THERE IS AN ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
   EASTERN OKLAHOMA...NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS...AND A SMALL PORTION OF
   SOUTHERN MISSOURI...

   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM OK AND N TX ENEWD INTO THE
   LOWER OH VALLEY...

   ...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM TX TO SWRN OH...

   ...SUMMARY...
   SCATTERED SEVERE STORMS WILL CONTINUE WITHIN A LARGER BAND OF
   CONVECTION SPREADING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD FROM OKLAHOMA ACROSS THE
   OZARKS AND INTO THE MID MISSISSIPPI AND LOWER OHIO VALLEYS.  HAIL
   AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS THIS EVENING...BEFORE
   SEVERE RISK DIMINISHES OVERNIGHT.  OTHER/ISOLATED STORMS CAPABLE OF
   PRODUCING HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF
   NORTHERN...CENTRAL AND EASTERN TEXAS.

   ...SOUTHERN PLAINS/OZARKS REGION INTO THE MID AND LOWER MS/LOWER OH
   VALLEYS...

   A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TO EVOLVE ALONG AN ADVANCING COLD
   FRONT...EXTENDING FROM KY WSWWD ACROSS SERN MO/NWRN AR/OK AND INTO
   THE TX SOUTH PLAINS.  VERY LARGE HAIL AND A COUPLE OF TORNADOES WERE
   REPORTED EARLIER...BUT AS STORM MODE CONTINUES TO TRANSITION FROM
   ISOLATED SUPERCELLS TO A MORE LINEAR BAND OF CONVECTION...PRIMARY
   SEVERE RISK DURING THE EVENING HOURS WILL EVOLVE TOWARD
   GUSTY/LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL GENERALLY SMALLER THAN GOLF
   BALLS.  IN THE NEAR TERM HOWEVER...A BRIEF TORNADO OR TWO WILL
   REMAIN POSSIBLE WITH EMBEDDED/ROTATING CELLS WITHIN THE CONVECTIVE
   LINE FOR THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS.

   WITH TIME...THE ADVANCING COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE
   GRADUALLY UNDERCUTTING THE BAND OF STORMS -- RESULTING IN
   INCREASINGLY ELEVATED CONVECTION.  AS A RESULT...EXPECT A GRADUAL
   DECREASE IN SEVERE RISK THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS STORMS SPREAD
   SEWD ACROSS OK INTO AR/TX AND EVENTUALLY NWRN LA.

   ..GOSS.. 03/26/2015

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z

        
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Page last modified: March 26, 2015
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