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    Day 2 Outlook >
Oct 31, 2014 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Oct 31 00:35:02 UTC 2014 (Print Version | 20141031 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20141031 0100Z Day 1 KML)
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 Forecast Discussion
   SPC AC 310035

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0735 PM CDT THU OCT 30 2014

   VALID 310100Z - 311200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   THE RISK FOR THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS ACROSS
   NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COASTAL AREAS.  WIDELY SCATTERED
   THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ALSO REMAINS POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL
   TEXAS INTO THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY.

   ...FLORIDA...
   THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN MOSTLY CONFINED TO THE VICINITY OF THE
   INITIAL SURFACE FRONTAL ZONE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PENINSULA. 
   ACTIVITY LIKELY HAS BEEN AIDED BY FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH AN
   UPSTREAM WEAK MID-LEVEL IMPULSE WHICH IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
   TURNING EAST NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS SOUTH ATLANTIC COASTAL AREAS
   OVERNIGHT.  WHILE THE BULK OF ONGOING CONVECTION MAY SPREAD OFFSHORE
   NEAR/NORTH OF DAYTONA BEACH BY 02-03Z...ADDITIONAL ISOLATED
   THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT MAY NOT BE OUT OF THE QUESTION FARTHER
   SOUTH NEAR EAST CENTRAL COASTAL AREAS OVERNIGHT.

   ...TEXAS...
   WHILE INITIAL ONGOING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY GRADUALLY WEAKENS TO THE
   SOUTHWEST OF THE DALLAS-FORT WORTH METROPLEX...NEW THUNDERSTORM
   DEVELOPMENT STILL APPEARS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE TEXAS HILL
   COUNTRY INTO THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY...PERHAPS AIDED BY A ZONE OF
   ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL FRONTOGENETIC FORCING.  WITH SUBSTANTIVE FURTHER
   STEEPENING OF MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES UNLIKELY ACROSS THIS
   REGION...RATHER MODEST CAPE IS EXPECTED TO PRECLUDE AN APPRECIABLE
   RISK FOR SEVERE HAIL OR WIND GIVEN THE LACK OF STRONGER VERTICAL
   SHEAR AND DEEP LAYER FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION.

   ..KERR.. 10/31/2014

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z

        
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Page last modified: October 31, 2014
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