Feb 10, 2016 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Wed Feb 10 00:49:19 UTC 2016 (20160210 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20160210 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20160210 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20160210 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20160210 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20160210 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 100049

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0649 PM CST TUE FEB 09 2016

   VALID 100100Z - 101200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.

   ...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...

   RAOBS AT 00Z SAMPLE DRY AND/OR STABLE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE CONUS.
   THESE CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
   HOURS...AS BROADLY CYCLONIC MIDLEVEL FLOW AND COOL/COLD CONDITIONS
   COVER MUCH OF THE CNTRL/ERN CONUS. THE DEARTH OF BUOYANCY AND
   PAUCITY OF TROPOSPHERIC MOISTURE WILL PRECLUDE TSTMS ACROSS THE
   CONUS TONIGHT.

   ..COHEN.. 02/10/2016

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z