Nov 7, 2009 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Nov 7 00:50:18 UTC 2009
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20091107 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20091107 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Tornado Legend Image
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20091107 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Wind Legend Image
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20091107 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Hail Legend Image
   SPC AC 070048
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0648 PM CST FRI NOV 06 2009
   
   VALID 070100Z - 071200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...PACIFIC NW...
   
   00Z SOUNDINGS FROM BOTH UIL AND SLE EXHIBIT SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY
   THROUGH A DEEP LAYER FOR CONVECTION CAPABLE OF GENERATING
   LIGHTNING...THOUGH SBCAPE IS GENERALLY ON THE ORDER OF A FEW HUNDRED
   J/KG.  LAPSE RATES REMAIN STEEP THROUGH AT LEAST 4KM TO 6KM ALONG
   THE WA/ORE COAST...WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT ISOLATED
   THUNDERSTORMS AS MARINE BOUNDARY LAYER INFLOW IS THE PRIMARY SOURCE
   FOR CONVECTIVE BUOYANCY.  FARTHER INLAND...LAPSE RATES ARE STEEP
   ACROSS ERN WA BUT PWAT IS QUITE LOW AND PROFILES MAY BE TOO COOL FOR
   MORE THAN ONE OR TWO LIGHTNING STRIKES WITHIN STRONGER UPDRAFTS.
   
   ..DARROW.. 11/07/2009
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z