Feb 10, 2016 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Wed Feb 10 05:41:22 UTC 2016 (20160210 1200Z Day 1 shapefile | 20160210 1200Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20160210 1200 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20160210 1200 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20160210 1200 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20160210 1200 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 100541

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1141 PM CST TUE FEB 09 2016

   VALID 101200Z - 111200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ACROSS THE UNITED STATES FOR TODAY
   INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

   ...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...

   IN THE MID LEVELS...A HIGH-AMPLITUDE PATTERN WILL PREVAIL...WITH AN
   ERN-CONUS TROUGH AND A WRN-CONUS RIDGE. AT THE SFC...COOL/COLD
   CONDITIONS WILL BE COMMON ACROSS MUCH OF THE N-CNTRL/CNTRL/ERN
   CONUS...WITH GENERALLY DRY/STABLE CONDITIONS. AN ELONGATED SPEED MAX
   WILL ADVANCE THROUGH CYCLONIC FLOW PERIPHERAL TO THE MID-LEVEL
   TROUGH...AND WILL REINFORCE SUFFICIENTLY COLD AIR ALOFT FOR
   CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED PRECIPITATION OVER THE GREAT LAKES VICINITY.
   HOWEVER...THE OVERALL DEARTH OF BUOYANCY ACROSS THE CONUS PRECLUDES
   GENERAL-THUNDERSTORM DELINEATION.

   ..COHEN.. 02/10/2016

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z