Feb 11, 2016 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Thu Feb 11 19:29:56 UTC 2016 (20160211 2000Z Day 1 shapefile | 20160211 2000Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20160211 2000 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20160211 2000 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20160211 2000 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20160211 2000 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 111929

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0129 PM CST THU FEB 11 2016

   VALID 112000Z - 121200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   THUNDERSTORM PROBABILITIES APPEAR NEGLIGIBLE ACROSS THE U.S. THROUGH
   THE REMAINDER OF TODAY AND TONIGHT.

   ...20Z OUTLOOK UPDATE...
   NO CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE ONGOING CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK.

   ..KERR.. 02/11/2016

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1018 AM CST THU FEB 11 2016/

   A COLD UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN STATES WILL MAINTAIN RELATIVELY
   DRY/STABLE CONDITIONS ACROSS MOST OF THE CONUS TODAY...PRECLUDING
   ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z