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Jan 30, 2015 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Jan 30 05:48:41 UTC 2015 (Print Version | 20150130 0700Z Day 2 shapefile | 20150130 0700Z Day 2 KML)
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 Forecast Discussion

   SPC AC 300548

   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1148 PM CST THU JAN 29 2015

   VALID 311200Z - 011200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR SATURDAY FROM
   SOUTHERN ARIZONA AND NEW MEXICO INTO SOUTHWESTERN THROUGH CENTRAL
   TEXAS.

   ...SYNOPSIS...

   SPLIT FLOW REGIME WILL PERSIST OVER THE U.S. SATURDAY WITH PRIMARY
   BELT OF WLYS FROM THE NRN ROCKIES INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC. A CUTOFF
   UPPER LOW WILL SLOWLY DRIFT FROM THE SWRN STATES INTO NRN MEXICO.

   ...SRN AZ THROUGH SWRN AND SCNTRL TX...

   A SERIES OF VORTICITY MAXIMA WILL ROTATE AROUND THE LARGER CUTOFF
   UPPER-LOW CIRCULATION INTO THE SWRN AND SCNTRL STATES. NUMEROUS
   SHOWERS WILL PERSIST AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE
   FROM SRN AZ INTO SRN NM WITHIN AN ENVIRONMENT OF MODEST 6-6.5
   MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND WEAK AOB 300 J/KG MUCAPE. 

   OTHER SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR FARTHER EAST
   FROM SWRN THROUGH CNTRL TX WITHIN DEVELOPING ZONE OF THETA-E
   ADVECTION AND ISENTROPIC ASCENT IN ASSOCIATION WITH A STRENGTHENING
   SLY LLJ. MODEST LAPSE RATES AND WEAK INSTABILITY SHOULD PRECLUDE ANY
   SEVERE THREAT.

   ..DIAL.. 01/30/2015

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z

        
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Page last modified: January 30, 2015
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