Dec 19, 2014 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Dec 19 17:05:18 UTC 2014 (20141219 1730Z Day 2 shapefile | 20141219 1730Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20141219 1730 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20141219 1730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 191705

   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1105 AM CST FRI DEC 19 2014

   VALID 201200Z - 211200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM MAY OCCUR ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS LATE
   SATURDAY NIGHT.

   ...DISCUSSION...
   A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE OH VALLEY ON SATURDAY AS
   ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE SRN ROCKIES. THIS WRN U.S.
   TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO WRN PARTS OF THE SRN PLAINS SATURDAY NIGHT.
   THERE MAY BE ENOUGH LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE FOR AN
   ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM IN DEEP SOUTH TX WHERE SFC DEWPOINTS AT
   BROWNSVILLE ARE FORECAST TO BE NEAR 60 F. WEAK INSTABILITY SHOULD
   KEEP CONVECTION BELOW SEVERE LIMITS. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE
   CONUS...THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECTED SATURDAY OR SATURDAY
   NIGHT.

   ..BROYLES.. 12/19/2014

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z