Sep 1, 2015 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Sep 1 17:00:10 UTC 2015 (20150901 1730Z Day 2 shapefile | 20150901 1730Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20150901 1730 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20150901 1730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 011700

   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1200 PM CDT TUE SEP 01 2015

   VALID 021200Z - 031200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   GENERAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY WEDNESDAY FROM THE SOUTHWEST STATES
   INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS AS WELL AS THE
   UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...GREAT LAKES...OHIO VALLEY AND THE
   SOUTHEAST STATES. OTHER ISOLATED STORMS MAY OCCUR FROM THE PACIFIC
   NORTHWEST INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES.

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A GENERALLY MOIST AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE FROM THE PLAINS
   STATES TO THE E COAST WITH WEAK FLOW ALOFT WITH A BROAD UPPER RIDGE.
   ISOLATED DAYTIME STORMS DRIVEN BY HEATING WILL OCCUR FROM THE UPPER
   MS VALLEY SEWD TO THE MID ATLANTIC AND ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES.

   TO THE W...AN UPPER TROUGH WILL EXIST ACROSS THE NWRN STATES BUT
   MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL BE QUITE LIMITED. A FEW SHALLOW
   CONVECTIVE SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS COASTAL WASHINGTON...AS WELL
   AS NEAR A COLD FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL MT. IN ALL CASES...SEVERE
   WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

   ..JEWELL.. 09/01/2015

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z