Mar 8, 2015 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Sun Mar 8 05:33:44 UTC 2015 (20150308 0830Z Day 3 shapefile | 20150308 0830Z Day 3 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
0830 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Day 3 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20150308 0830 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 3 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 080533

   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1133 PM CST SAT MAR 07 2015

   VALID 101200Z - 111200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY MOSTLY ACROSS LOUISIANA AND
   MISSISSIPPI ON TUESDAY.

   ...SYNOPSIS AND DISCUSSION...
   A WEAK UPPER LOW WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT WILL
   MEANDER ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS WITH AN UPPER RIDGE HOLDING OVER THE
   SERN STATES. AT THE SURFACE...FLOW AROUND A BERMUDA HIGH WILL
   MAINTAIN MODEST DEWPOINTS INTO THE GULF COST REGION...SUPPORTING
   PRECIPITATION INCLUDING SOME THUNDERSTORMS.

   WITH AN EARLY SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCE QUICKLY EXITING THE LOWER MS
   VALLEY AREA...FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL BE LACKING FOR ANY APPRECIABLE
   THREAT. HOWEVER...A CORRIDOR OF MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT
   RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS LA AND MS.

   ..JEWELL.. 03/08/2015

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z