Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 17
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
550 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
FAR NORTHWEST GEORGIA
EASTERN KENTUCKY
SOUTHERN OHIO
EASTERN TENNESSEE
FAR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA
FAR WESTERN WEST VIRGINIA
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 550 AM UNTIL
100 PM EST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES SOUTH OF KNOXVILLE
TENNESSEE TO 5 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF HUNTINGTON WEST VIRGINIA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 14...WW 15...WW 16...
DISCUSSION...QLCS WITH A HISTORY OF WIND DAMAGE OVER CNTRL KY/MIDDLE
TN IS EXPECTED TO PROGRESS EWD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS MORNING.
THOUGH INSTABILITY REMAINS VERY WEAK...INTENSE VERTICAL SHEAR AND
FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL MAINTAIN EMBEDDED LEWP STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF
DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS A TORNADO OR TWO.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 300.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22045.
...MEAD
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 17 TORNADO GA KY OH TN VA WV 301050Z - 301800Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
55S TYS/KNOXVILLE TN/ - 5NNW HTS/HUNTINGTON WV/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /40WNW ODF - 32SW HNN/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 300. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22045.
LAT...LON 35028505 38418369 38418148 35028294
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 17 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 17
VALID 301725Z - 301800Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE CHA
TO 15 SW TYS TO 15 NE TRI.
WW 17 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 301800Z.
..COHEN..01/30/13
ATTN...WFO...FFC...JKL...RLX...MRX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 17
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC039-043-301800-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE CLAY
$$
TNC009-019-029-059-089-091-123-139-155-163-171-179-301800-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLOUNT CARTER COCKE
GREENE JEFFERSON JOHNSON
MONROE POLK SEVIER
SULLIVAN UNICOI WASHINGTON
$$
VAC191-520-301800-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
WASHINGTON
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BRISTOL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 17
VALID 301625Z - 301740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE CHA
TO 40 W BLF.
..COHEN..01/30/13
ATTN...WFO...FFC...JKL...RLX...MRX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 17
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC039-043-301740-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE CLAY
$$
TNC009-011-019-029-057-059-063-065-073-089-091-093-105-107-123-
139-155-163-171-179-301740-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLOUNT BRADLEY CARTER
COCKE GRAINGER GREENE
HAMBLEN HAMILTON HAWKINS
JEFFERSON JOHNSON KNOX
LOUDON MCMINN MONROE
POLK SEVIER SULLIVAN
UNICOI WASHINGTON
$$
VAC167-169-191-520-301740-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
RUSSELL SCOTT WASHINGTON
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BRISTOL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 17
VALID 301525Z - 301640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE CHA
TO 40 NNW TRI TO 10 SE CRW.
..COHEN..01/30/13
ATTN...WFO...FFC...JKL...RLX...MRX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 17
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC039-043-301640-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE CLAY
$$
TNC009-011-019-029-057-059-063-065-067-073-089-091-093-105-107-
115-121-123-139-143-145-153-155-163-171-179-301640-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLOUNT BRADLEY CARTER
COCKE GRAINGER GREENE
HAMBLEN HAMILTON HANCOCK
HAWKINS JEFFERSON JOHNSON
KNOX LOUDON MCMINN
MARION MEIGS MONROE
POLK RHEA ROANE
SEQUATCHIE SEVIER SULLIVAN
UNICOI WASHINGTON
$$
VAC027-051-167-169-191-195-520-720-301640-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCHANAN DICKENSON RUSSELL
SCOTT WASHINGTON WISE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BRISTOL NORTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 17
VALID 301430Z - 301540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 E CSV TO
35 SSE JKL TO 25 ENE HTS.
..COHEN..01/30/13
ATTN...WFO...FFC...JKL...RLX...MRX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 17
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC071-095-119-131-133-159-195-301540-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FLOYD HARLAN KNOTT
LESLIE LETCHER MARTIN
PIKE
$$
NCC039-043-301540-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE CLAY
$$
TNC001-007-009-011-013-019-025-029-057-059-063-065-067-073-089-
091-093-105-107-115-121-123-129-139-143-145-153-155-163-171-173-
179-301540-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BLEDSOE BLOUNT
BRADLEY CAMPBELL CARTER
CLAIBORNE COCKE GRAINGER
GREENE HAMBLEN HAMILTON
HANCOCK HAWKINS JEFFERSON
JOHNSON KNOX LOUDON
MCMINN MARION MEIGS
MONROE MORGAN POLK
RHEA ROANE SEQUATCHIE
SEVIER SULLIVAN UNICOI
UNION WASHINGTON
$$
VAC027-051-105-167-169-191-195-520-720-301540-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCHANAN DICKENSON LEE
RUSSELL SCOTT WASHINGTON
WISE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BRISTOL NORTON
$$
WVC005-035-039-043-045-059-079-301540-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE JACKSON KANAWHA
LINCOLN LOGAN MINGO
PUTNAM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 17
VALID 301355Z - 301440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NE CSV TO
25 E JKL TO 5 NNW HTS.
..PETERS..01/30/13
ATTN...WFO...FFC...JKL...RLX...MRX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 17
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC013-071-095-115-119-127-131-133-159-193-195-301440-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL FLOYD HARLAN
JOHNSON KNOTT LAWRENCE
LESLIE LETCHER MARTIN
PERRY PIKE
$$
NCC039-043-301440-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE CLAY
$$
OHC053-087-105-301440-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GALLIA LAWRENCE MEIGS
$$
TNC001-007-009-011-013-019-025-029-057-059-063-065-067-073-089-
091-093-105-107-115-121-123-129-139-143-145-151-153-155-163-171-
173-179-301440-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BLEDSOE BLOUNT
BRADLEY CAMPBELL CARTER
CLAIBORNE COCKE GRAINGER
GREENE HAMBLEN HAMILTON
HANCOCK HAWKINS JEFFERSON
JOHNSON KNOX LOUDON
MCMINN MARION MEIGS
MONROE MORGAN POLK
RHEA ROANE SCOTT
SEQUATCHIE SEVIER SULLIVAN
UNICOI UNION WASHINGTON
$$
VAC027-051-105-167-169-191-195-520-720-301440-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCHANAN DICKENSON LEE
RUSSELL SCOTT WASHINGTON
WISE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BRISTOL NORTON
$$
WVC005-011-035-039-043-045-053-059-079-099-301440-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE CABELL JACKSON
KANAWHA LINCOLN LOGAN
MASON MINGO PUTNAM
WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 17
VALID 301315Z - 301340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW LOZ TO
25 E LOZ TO 30 W HTS.
..PETERS..01/30/13
ATTN...WFO...FFC...JKL...RLX...MRX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 17
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC015-045-047-055-083-115-129-143-149-213-223-233-295-313-
301340-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTOW CARROLL CATOOSA
CHATTOOGA DADE FLOYD
GORDON HARALSON HEARD
MURRAY PAULDING POLK
WALKER WHITFIELD
$$
KYC013-019-025-043-051-063-071-089-095-115-119-121-127-131-133-
147-153-159-175-193-195-235-237-301340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BOYD BREATHITT
CARTER CLAY ELLIOTT
FLOYD GREENUP HARLAN
JOHNSON KNOTT KNOX
LAWRENCE LESLIE LETCHER
MCCREARY MAGOFFIN MARTIN
MORGAN PERRY PIKE
WHITLEY WOLFE
$$
NCC039-043-301340-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE CLAY
$$
OHC053-079-087-105-163-301340-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GALLIA JACKSON LAWRENCE
MEIGS VINTON
$$
TNC001-007-009-011-013-019-025-029-057-059-063-065-067-073-089-
091-093-105-107-115-121-123-129-139-143-145-151-153-155-163-171-
173-179-301340-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BLEDSOE BLOUNT
BRADLEY CAMPBELL CARTER
CLAIBORNE COCKE GRAINGER
GREENE HAMBLEN HAMILTON
HANCOCK HAWKINS JEFFERSON
JOHNSON KNOX LOUDON
MCMINN MARION MEIGS
MONROE MORGAN POLK
RHEA ROANE SCOTT
SEQUATCHIE SEVIER SULLIVAN
UNICOI UNION WASHINGTON
$$
VAC027-051-105-167-169-191-195-520-720-301340-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCHANAN DICKENSON LEE
RUSSELL SCOTT WASHINGTON
WISE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BRISTOL NORTON
$$
WVC005-011-035-039-043-045-053-059-079-099-301340-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE CABELL JACKSON
KANAWHA LINCOLN LOGAN
MASON MINGO PUTNAM
WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.