Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 34
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
535 PM CST SUN FEB 10 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 535 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
BATON ROUGE LOUISIANA TO 55 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF PINE BELT
MISSISSIPPI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 32. WATCH NUMBER 32 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 535
PM CST. CONTINUE...WW 33...
DISCUSSION...UNTIL A STRONG SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL JET WEAKENS AND
DEVELOPS EAST OF THE REGION LATER THIS EVENING...THE RISK FOR
SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORNADOES CONTINUES ACROSS THE
REGION.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
...KERR/THOMPSON
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 34 TORNADO LA MS 102335Z - 110500Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35ESE BTR/BATON ROUGE LA/ - 55NNW PIB/PINE BELT MS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM E/W /37ESE BTR - 30SE JAN/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
REPLACES WW 32..LA MS
LAT...LON 30329194 32209105 32208831 30328926
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 34 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 34
VALID 110255Z - 110340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 N LFT TO
40 E PIB.
..THOMPSON..02/11/13
ATTN...WFO...LIX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 34
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC033-063-103-105-117-121-110340-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
EAST BATON ROUGE LIVINGSTON ST. TAMMANY
TANGIPAHOA WASHINGTON WEST BATON ROUGE
$$
MSC035-045-073-091-109-110340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FORREST HANCOCK LAMAR
MARION PEARL RIVER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 34
VALID 110200Z - 110340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 N LFT TO
35 SSE MEI.
..SMITH..02/11/13
ATTN...WFO...LIX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 34
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC033-063-103-105-117-121-110340-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
EAST BATON ROUGE LIVINGSTON ST. TAMMANY
TANGIPAHOA WASHINGTON WEST BATON ROUGE
$$
MSC031-035-045-067-073-091-109-110340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COVINGTON FORREST HANCOCK
JONES LAMAR MARION
PEARL RIVER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 34
VALID 110055Z - 110140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 146
..SMITH..02/11/13
ATTN...WFO...LIX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 34
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC033-037-063-077-091-103-105-117-121-125-110140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
EAST BATON ROUGE EAST FELICIANA LIVINGSTON
POINTE COUPEE ST. HELENA ST. TAMMANY
TANGIPAHOA WASHINGTON WEST BATON ROUGE
WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC005-023-029-031-035-037-045-061-065-067-073-077-085-091-109-
113-127-129-147-157-110140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AMITE CLARKE COPIAH
COVINGTON FORREST FRANKLIN
HANCOCK JASPER JEFFERSON DAVIS
JONES LAMAR LAWRENCE
LINCOLN MARION PEARL RIVER
PIKE SIMPSON SMITH
WALTHALL WILKINSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
@NWSSPC
