Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 45
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1255 AM EST TUE FEB 26 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
FLORIDA PANHANDLE
FAR SOUTHWEST GEORGIA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY MORNING FROM 1255 AM UNTIL 900 AM EST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTHWEST OF PANAMA
CITY FLORIDA TO 25 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF CROSS CITY FLORIDA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...THE REGION WILL BE INCREASINGLY INFLUENCED...AT LEAST
PERIPHERALLY...BY AN EASTWARD-SHIFTING UPPER TROUGH OVER THE
ARKLATEX/OZARKS REGION. WITH STRONG TSTMS ALREADY ONGOING OFF THE
COAST OF THE FL PANHANDLE...A MARITIME AIRMASS /65+ F SURFACE
DEWPOINTS/ WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO THE FL PANHANDLE THROUGH THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS OF TUESDAY VIA A STRENGTHENING /50+ KT/ LOW
LEVEL JET. GIVEN VERY STRONG SHEAR/AMPLE LOW LEVEL SRH...POTENTIAL
WILL EXIST FOR SUPERCELLS/EMBEDDED BOWS CAPABLE OF A FEW TORNADOES
AND WIND DAMAGE.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24045.
...GUYER
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 45 TORNADO FL GA CW 260555Z - 261400Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
35NW PFN/PANAMA CITY FL/ - 25NNE CTY/CROSS CITY FL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM N/S /34ESE CEW - 23NNE CTY/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24045.
LAT...LON 31228609 30628294 29308294 29938609
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 45 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 45
VALID 261235Z - 261340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW CTY
TO 40 N CTY TO 40 WNW AYS.
..JEWELL..02/26/13
ATTN...WFO...TAE...TBW...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 45
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC029-067-075-261340-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DIXIE LAFAYETTE LEVY
$$
GAC173-261340-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LANIER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 45
VALID 261150Z - 261240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WSW CTY
TO 35 ENE TLH TO 10 WNW MGR.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 233
..JEWELL..02/26/13
ATTN...WFO...TAE...TBW...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 45
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC029-065-067-075-079-123-261240-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DIXIE JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE
LEVY MADISON TAYLOR
$$
GAC019-027-075-173-185-275-261240-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERRIEN BROOKS COOK
LANIER LOWNDES THOMAS
$$
GMZ765-261240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 45
VALID 261030Z - 261140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE AAF
TO 25 WSW ABY.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 231
..JEWELL..02/26/13
ATTN...WFO...TAE...TBW...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 45
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC029-039-065-067-073-075-079-123-129-261140-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DIXIE GADSDEN JEFFERSON
LAFAYETTE LEON LEVY
MADISON TAYLOR WAKULLA
$$
GAC027-087-131-185-275-261140-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROOKS DECATUR GRADY
LOWNDES THOMAS
$$
GMZ730-755-765-261140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 45
VALID 260945Z - 261040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE AAF
TO 30 NE MAI.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 231
..JEWELL..02/26/13
ATTN...WFO...TAE...TBW...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 45
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC029-037-039-065-067-073-075-077-079-123-129-261040-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DIXIE FRANKLIN GADSDEN
JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LEON
LEVY LIBERTY MADISON
TAYLOR WAKULLA
$$
GAC027-087-131-185-253-275-261040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROOKS DECATUR GRADY
LOWNDES SEMINOLE THOMAS
$$
GMZ730-755-765-261040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 45
VALID 260735Z - 260840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SW PFN TO
35 S TOI.
..JEWELL..02/26/13
ATTN...WFO...TAE...TBW...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 45
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC005-013-029-037-039-045-059-063-065-067-073-075-077-079-123-
129-131-133-260840-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN DIXIE
FRANKLIN GADSDEN GULF
HOLMES JACKSON JEFFERSON
LAFAYETTE LEON LEVY
LIBERTY MADISON TAYLOR
WAKULLA WALTON WASHINGTON
$$
GAC027-087-131-185-253-275-260840-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROOKS DECATUR GRADY
LOWNDES SEMINOLE THOMAS
$$
GMZ730-750-755-765-260840-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.