Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 402
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
820 PM CDT SAT JUN 13 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
NORTH TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 820 PM
UNTIL 400 AM CDT.
HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTHWEST OF
ALVA OKLAHOMA TO 60 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF SHERMAN TEXAS. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 397...WW 398...WW
399...WW 400...WW 401...
DISCUSSION...COMPLEX...LOOSELY-ORGANIZED MCS NOW EVOLVING OVER NW TX
AND THE SE PART OF THE TX PANHANDLE EXPECTED TO MOVE/DEVELOP
GENERALLY E OR ENE INTO N TX AND CNTRL OK LATER TONIGHT. DIURNAL
CIN INCREASE WILL FURTHER COMPLICATE AND POSSIBLY HINDER EWD STORM
PROPAGATION. BUT COMBINATION OF SUSTAINED...VERY MOIST ESELY LOW
LVL FLOW /ESPECIALLY N OF STALLED FRONT OVER SRN OK/...MODERATE WLY
MID LVL FLOW...AND VERY DEEP EML SUGGEST GOOD CHANCE FOR DMGG WET
MICROBURSTS...SVR HAIL...AND POSSIBLY A BRIEF TORNADO OR TWO AS
UPSCALE DEVELOPMENT CONTINUES.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26025.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 402 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 140120Z - 140900Z
AXIS..100 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
20NW AVK/ALVA OK/ - 60SSW GYI/SHERMAN TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 85NM E/W /60NE GAG - 3NNW DFW/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26025.
LAT...LON 36959711 32909533 32909879 36950073
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 402 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 402
VALID 140845Z - 140940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNE CQB
TO 15 SW END TO 30 SE P28.
..BROYLES..06/14/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 402
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC047-053-071-103-140940-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GARFIELD GRANT KAY
NOBLE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 402
VALID 140630Z - 140740Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..06/14/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 402
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC003-005-011-013-015-017-019-027-029-031-033-039-043-047-049-
051-053-059-063-067-069-071-073-081-083-085-087-093-095-099-103-
109-119-123-125-133-137-149-151-153-140740-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA ATOKA BLAINE
BRYAN CADDO CANADIAN
CARTER CLEVELAND COAL
COMANCHE COTTON CUSTER
DEWEY GARFIELD GARVIN
GRADY GRANT HARPER
HUGHES JEFFERSON JOHNSTON
KAY KINGFISHER LINCOLN
LOGAN LOVE MCCLAIN
MAJOR MARSHALL MURRAY
NOBLE OKLAHOMA PAYNE
PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE SEMINOLE
STEPHENS WASHITA WOODS
WOODWARD
$$
TXC077-085-097-121-147-181-237-337-363-367-497-140740-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY COLLIN COOKE
DENTON FANNIN GRAYSON
JACK MONTAGUE PALO PINTO
PARKER WISE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 402
VALID 140540Z - 140640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..06/14/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 402
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC003-005-011-013-015-017-019-027-029-031-033-039-043-047-049-
051-053-059-063-067-069-071-073-081-083-085-087-093-095-099-103-
109-119-123-125-133-137-149-151-153-140640-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA ATOKA BLAINE
BRYAN CADDO CANADIAN
CARTER CLEVELAND COAL
COMANCHE COTTON CUSTER
DEWEY GARFIELD GARVIN
GRADY GRANT HARPER
HUGHES JEFFERSON JOHNSTON
KAY KINGFISHER LINCOLN
LOGAN LOVE MCCLAIN
MAJOR MARSHALL MURRAY
NOBLE OKLAHOMA PAYNE
PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE SEMINOLE
STEPHENS WASHITA WOODS
WOODWARD
$$
TXC077-085-097-121-147-181-237-337-363-367-497-140640-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY COLLIN COOKE
DENTON FANNIN GRAYSON
JACK MONTAGUE PALO PINTO
PARKER WISE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 402
VALID 140440Z - 140540Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GUYER..06/14/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 402
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC003-005-011-013-015-017-019-027-029-031-033-039-043-047-049-
051-053-059-063-067-069-071-073-081-083-085-087-093-095-099-103-
109-119-123-125-133-137-149-151-153-140540-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA ATOKA BLAINE
BRYAN CADDO CANADIAN
CARTER CLEVELAND COAL
COMANCHE COTTON CUSTER
DEWEY GARFIELD GARVIN
GRADY GRANT HARPER
HUGHES JEFFERSON JOHNSTON
KAY KINGFISHER LINCOLN
LOGAN LOVE MCCLAIN
MAJOR MARSHALL MURRAY
NOBLE OKLAHOMA PAYNE
PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE SEMINOLE
STEPHENS WASHITA WOODS
WOODWARD
$$
TXC077-085-097-121-147-181-237-337-363-367-497-140540-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY COLLIN COOKE
DENTON FANNIN GRAYSON
JACK MONTAGUE PALO PINTO
PARKER WISE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 402
VALID 140355Z - 140440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GUYER..06/14/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 402
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC003-005-011-013-015-017-019-027-029-031-033-039-043-047-049-
051-053-059-063-067-069-071-073-081-083-085-087-093-095-099-103-
109-119-123-125-133-137-149-151-153-140440-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA ATOKA BLAINE
BRYAN CADDO CANADIAN
CARTER CLEVELAND COAL
COMANCHE COTTON CUSTER
DEWEY GARFIELD GARVIN
GRADY GRANT HARPER
HUGHES JEFFERSON JOHNSTON
KAY KINGFISHER LINCOLN
LOGAN LOVE MCCLAIN
MAJOR MARSHALL MURRAY
NOBLE OKLAHOMA PAYNE
PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE SEMINOLE
STEPHENS WASHITA WOODS
WOODWARD
$$
TXC077-085-097-121-147-181-237-337-363-367-497-140440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY COLLIN COOKE
DENTON FANNIN GRAYSON
JACK MONTAGUE PALO PINTO
PARKER WISE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (90%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.