Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 543
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
500 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST KANSAS
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON FROM 500 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 35 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
CONCORDIA KANSAS TO 25 MILES NORTH OF TOPEKA KANSAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 540...WW 541...
DISCUSSION...SHEAR REMAINS QUITE STRONG ACROSS NERN KS...AND LOW
LEVEL SHEAR WILL STRENGTHEN FURTHER THROUGH THE EVENING ALONG SSWLY
LLJ. GIVEN DEGREE OF INSTABILITY...POTENTIAL FOR A FEW DISCRETE
STORMS TO ROOT INTO BOUNDARY LAYER SUPPORTS A RISK OF TORNADOES THIS
EVENING. LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS ARE ADDITIONAL
RISKS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26020.
...EVANS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 543 TORNADO KS 032200Z - 040500Z
AXIS..35 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
20WNW CNK/CONCORDIA KS/ - 25N TOP/TOPEKA KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 30NM N/S /47NNW SLN - 49W MKC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26020.
LAT...LON 40159800 39939562 38939562 39139800
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 543 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 543
VALID 040255Z - 040340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..PETERS..07/04/09
ATTN...WFO...TOP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 543
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC013-027-029-041-061-085-117-127-131-143-149-157-161-201-
040340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CLAY CLOUD
DICKINSON GEARY JACKSON
MARSHALL MORRIS NEMAHA
OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE REPUBLIC
RILEY WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 543
VALID 040155Z - 040240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1421.
..PETERS..07/04/09
ATTN...WFO...TOP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 543
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC013-027-029-041-061-085-117-127-131-143-149-157-161-201-
040240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CLAY CLOUD
DICKINSON GEARY JACKSON
MARSHALL MORRIS NEMAHA
OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE REPUBLIC
RILEY WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 543
VALID 040030Z - 040140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..PETERS..07/04/09
ATTN...WFO...TOP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 543
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC013-027-029-085-117-131-143-149-157-161-201-040140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CLAY CLOUD
JACKSON MARSHALL NEMAHA
OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE REPUBLIC
RILEY WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 543
VALID 032335Z - 040040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..PETERS..07/03/09
ATTN...WFO...TOP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 543
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC013-027-029-085-117-131-143-149-157-161-201-040040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CLAY CLOUD
JACKSON MARSHALL NEMAHA
OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE REPUBLIC
RILEY WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.