Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 637
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1050 AM CDT SUN JUN 29 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
LARGE PART OF SOUTHERN ALABAMA
LARGE PART OF FLORIDA PANHANDLE
SOUTHWEST GEORGIA
PARTS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1050 AM UNTIL 600
PM CDT.
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTHWEST
OF PINE BELT MISSISSIPPI TO 20 MILES NORTHEAST OF VALDOSTA
GEORGIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY IN A VERY MOIST AND
UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT ACROSS THE WATCH. WITH 20-30KT OF LOW/MID
LEVEL FLOW AND MLCAPES AOA 2500...DAMAGING WINDS WILL BECOME THE
PRIMARY THREAT AS COLD POOLS DEVELOP IN FORWARD PROPAGATING CLUSTERS
OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27030.
...HALES
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 637
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1050 AM CDT SUN JUN 29 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
LARGE PART OF SOUTHERN ALABAMA
LARGE PART OF FLORIDA PANHANDLE
SOUTHWEST GEORGIA
PARTS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1050 AM UNTIL 600
PM CDT.
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTHWEST
OF PINE BELT MISSISSIPPI TO 20 MILES NORTHEAST OF VALDOSTA
GEORGIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY IN A VERY MOIST AND
UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT ACROSS THE WATCH. WITH 20-30KT OF LOW/MID
LEVEL FLOW AND MLCAPES AOA 2500...DAMAGING WINDS WILL BECOME THE
PRIMARY THREAT AS COLD POOLS DEVELOP IN FORWARD PROPAGATING CLUSTERS
OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27030.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 637 SEVERE TSTM AL FL GA MS CW 291550Z - 292300Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
30NW PIB/PINE BELT MS/ - 20NE VLD/VALDOSTA GA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /41NE MCB - 43SW AMG/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.
LAT...LON 32638969 31858304 30128304 30908969
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 637 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 637
VALID 292135Z - 292240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W MOB TO
35 N MOB TO 30 SSW TCL.
..HURLBUT..06/29/08
ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...TAE...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 637
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-005-011-013-025-031-035-039-041-045-047-053-061-067-069-
085-091-099-101-105-109-131-292240-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BARBOUR BULLOCK
BUTLER CLARKE COFFEE
CONECUH COVINGTON CRENSHAW
DALE DALLAS ESCAMBIA
GENEVA HENRY HOUSTON
LOWNDES MARENGO MONROE
MONTGOMERY PERRY PIKE
WILCOX
$$
FLC013-033-039-059-063-065-073-079-091-113-131-133-292240-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN ESCAMBIA GADSDEN
HOLMES JACKSON JEFFERSON
LEON MADISON OKALOOSA
SANTA ROSA WALTON WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-017-019-027-037-061-071-075-087-095-099-131-155-173-177-
185-201-205-239-243-253-273-275-277-287-321-292240-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BEN HILL BERRIEN
BROOKS CALHOUN CLAY
COLQUITT COOK DECATUR
DOUGHERTY EARLY GRADY
IRWIN LANIER LEE
LOWNDES MILLER MITCHELL
QUITMAN RANDOLPH SEMINOLE
TERRELL THOMAS TIFT
TURNER WORTH
$$
GMZ630-655-292240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MOBILE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 637
VALID 292030Z - 292140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ENE GPT
TO 55 N MOB TO 35 NNE MEI.
..HURLBUT..06/29/08
ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...TAE...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 637
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-005-011-013-025-031-035-039-041-045-047-053-061-067-069-
085-091-099-101-105-109-119-131-292140-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BARBOUR BULLOCK
BUTLER CLARKE COFFEE
CONECUH COVINGTON CRENSHAW
DALE DALLAS ESCAMBIA
GENEVA HENRY HOUSTON
LOWNDES MARENGO MONROE
MONTGOMERY PERRY PIKE
SUMTER WILCOX
$$
FLC013-033-039-059-063-065-073-079-091-113-131-133-292140-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN ESCAMBIA GADSDEN
HOLMES JACKSON JEFFERSON
LEON MADISON OKALOOSA
SANTA ROSA WALTON WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-017-019-027-037-061-071-075-087-095-099-131-155-173-177-
185-201-205-239-243-253-273-275-277-287-321-292140-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BEN HILL BERRIEN
BROOKS CALHOUN CLAY
COLQUITT COOK DECATUR
DOUGHERTY EARLY GRADY
IRWIN LANIER LEE
LOWNDES MILLER MITCHELL
QUITMAN RANDOLPH SEMINOLE
TERRELL THOMAS TIFT
TURNER WORTH
$$
GMZ630-655-292140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MOBILE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 637
VALID 291930Z - 292040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 W PIB TO
25 SW MEI TO 30 NNW MEI.
..HURLBUT..06/29/08
ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...TAE...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 637
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-005-011-013-023-025-031-035-039-041-045-047-053-061-067-
069-085-091-097-099-101-105-109-119-129-131-292040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BARBOUR BULLOCK
BUTLER CHOCTAW CLARKE
COFFEE CONECUH COVINGTON
CRENSHAW DALE DALLAS
ESCAMBIA GENEVA HENRY
HOUSTON LOWNDES MARENGO
MOBILE MONROE MONTGOMERY
PERRY PIKE SUMTER
WASHINGTON WILCOX
$$
FLC013-033-039-059-063-065-073-079-091-113-131-133-292040-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN ESCAMBIA GADSDEN
HOLMES JACKSON JEFFERSON
LEON MADISON OKALOOSA
SANTA ROSA WALTON WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-017-019-027-037-061-071-075-087-095-099-131-155-173-177-
185-201-205-239-243-253-273-275-277-287-321-292040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BEN HILL BERRIEN
BROOKS CALHOUN CLAY
COLQUITT COOK DECATUR
DOUGHERTY EARLY GRADY
IRWIN LANIER LEE
LOWNDES MILLER MITCHELL
QUITMAN RANDOLPH SEMINOLE
TERRELL THOMAS TIFT
TURNER WORTH
$$
MSC023-035-039-041-067-073-075-111-131-153-292040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARKE FORREST GEORGE
GREENE JONES LAMAR
LAUDERDALE PERRY STONE
WAYNE
$$
GMZ630-655-292040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MOBILE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 637
VALID 291835Z - 291940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1632
..HURLBUT..06/29/08
ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...TAE...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 637
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-005-011-013-023-025-031-035-039-041-045-047-053-061-067-
069-085-091-097-099-101-105-109-119-129-131-291940-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BARBOUR BULLOCK
BUTLER CHOCTAW CLARKE
COFFEE CONECUH COVINGTON
CRENSHAW DALE DALLAS
ESCAMBIA GENEVA HENRY
HOUSTON LOWNDES MARENGO
MOBILE MONROE MONTGOMERY
PERRY PIKE SUMTER
WASHINGTON WILCOX
$$
FLC013-033-039-059-063-065-073-079-091-113-131-133-291940-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN ESCAMBIA GADSDEN
HOLMES JACKSON JEFFERSON
LEON MADISON OKALOOSA
SANTA ROSA WALTON WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-017-019-027-037-061-071-075-087-095-099-131-155-173-177-
185-201-205-239-243-253-273-275-277-287-321-291940-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BEN HILL BERRIEN
BROOKS CALHOUN CLAY
COLQUITT COOK DECATUR
DOUGHERTY EARLY GRADY
IRWIN LANIER LEE
LOWNDES MILLER MITCHELL
QUITMAN RANDOLPH SEMINOLE
TERRELL THOMAS TIFT
TURNER WORTH
$$
MSC023-031-035-039-041-061-067-073-075-101-111-123-129-131-153-
291940-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARKE COVINGTON FORREST
GEORGE GREENE JASPER
JONES LAMAR LAUDERDALE
NEWTON PERRY SCOTT
SMITH STONE WAYNE
$$
GMZ630-655-291940-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MOBILE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 637
VALID 291725Z - 291840Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HURLBUT..06/29/08
ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...TAE...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 637
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-005-011-013-023-025-031-035-039-041-045-047-053-061-067-
069-085-091-097-099-101-105-109-119-129-131-291840-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BARBOUR BULLOCK
BUTLER CHOCTAW CLARKE
COFFEE CONECUH COVINGTON
CRENSHAW DALE DALLAS
ESCAMBIA GENEVA HENRY
HOUSTON LOWNDES MARENGO
MOBILE MONROE MONTGOMERY
PERRY PIKE SUMTER
WASHINGTON WILCOX
$$
FLC013-033-039-059-063-065-073-079-091-113-131-133-291840-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN ESCAMBIA GADSDEN
HOLMES JACKSON JEFFERSON
LEON MADISON OKALOOSA
SANTA ROSA WALTON WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-017-019-027-037-061-071-075-087-095-099-131-155-173-177-
185-201-205-239-243-253-273-275-277-287-321-291840-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BEN HILL BERRIEN
BROOKS CALHOUN CLAY
COLQUITT COOK DECATUR
DOUGHERTY EARLY GRADY
IRWIN LANIER LEE
LOWNDES MILLER MITCHELL
QUITMAN RANDOLPH SEMINOLE
TERRELL THOMAS TIFT
TURNER WORTH
$$
MSC023-031-035-039-041-061-067-073-075-101-111-123-129-131-153-
291840-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARKE COVINGTON FORREST
GEORGE GREENE JASPER
JONES LAMAR LAUDERDALE
NEWTON PERRY SCOTT
SMITH STONE WAYNE
$$
GMZ630-655-291840-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MOBILE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.