Storm Prediction Center Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

Created: Thu Feb 8 16:48:02 UTC 2018 (20180208 2000Z Day 2 FireWX shapefile | 20180208 2000Z Day 2 FireWX KML)

Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product (KWNSPFWFD2)

   FNUS22 KWNS 081646

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1046 AM CST Thu Feb 08 2018

   Valid 091200Z - 101200Z

   Morning guidance suggests elevated fire-weather conditions may
   extend farther east into portions of northwest Texas. Here, a belt
   of westerly winds up to 15 mph, with some stronger gusts, will
   support downslope warming/drying. The result will be
   relative-humidity values falling into the teens and low twenties.
   This combination of wind and relative humidity, along with long-term
   drought, will support a broader area of elevated fire-weather
   conditions than previously forecast.

   ..Marsh.. 02/08/2018

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1152 PM CST Wed Feb 07 2018/

   Quasi-zonal flow should transition to broadly cyclonic over the
   CONUS on Day 2/Friday as a shortwave trough moves southeastward over
   the Pacific Northwest. Mid-level westerly flow should gradually
   strengthen over the southern High Plains by Friday evening. At the
   surface, an area of low pressure is forecast to deepen over the
   central/southern High Plains through the period, with lee troughing
   extending southward from this low across eastern NM.

   ...Portions of the Southern High Plains...
   In response to a strengthening surface pressure gradient and
   modestly increasing mid-level westerly winds, strong/gusty winds
   around 15-20 mph appear likely across part of east-central NM Friday
   afternoon. Downslope warming/drying at low levels should reduce RH
   values into generally the 10-20% range for a few hours through peak
   heating. Coupled with dry/dormant fuels, these expected
   meteorological conditions should support an elevated designation
   across portions of east-central NM.

   ...Please see for graphic product...


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