Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

Created: Fri Feb 9 07:51:02 UTC 2018 (20180209 1200Z Day 1 FireWX shapefile | 20180209 1200Z Day 1 FireWX KML)

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   FNUS21 KWNS 090750

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0150 AM CST Fri Feb 09 2018

   Valid 091200Z - 101200Z

   Quasi-zonal flow should transition to broadly cyclonic over the
   CONUS today as a shortwave trough moves southeastward over the
   Pacific Northwest. Mid-level westerly flow should gradually
   strengthen over the southern High Plains by this evening. At the
   surface, an area of low pressure will deepen over the
   central/southern High Plains, with lee troughing extending southward
   from this low across eastern NM. A cold front will move southward
   across the central/southern Plains through the period.

   ...Portions of the Southern High Plains...
   In response to a strengthening surface pressure gradient and
   modestly increasing mid-level westerly winds, sustained surface
   winds around 15 to locally 20 mph appear likely across part of
   eastern NM into west TX this afternoon. Downslope warming/drying at
   low levels will reduce RH values into generally the 10-20% range for
   a few hours through peak heating. Coupled with dry/dormant fuels,
   these expected meteorological conditions support an elevated
   designation across this region. The lack of even stronger forecast
   winds precludes a critical area.

   ..Gleason.. 02/09/2018

   ...Please see for graphic product...


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