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    Day 2 Outlook >
Apr 25, 2019 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Thu Apr 25 00:53:31 UTC 2019 (Print Version | 20190425 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20190425 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
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 Forecast Discussion
   SPC AC 250053

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0753 PM CDT Wed Apr 24 2019

   Valid 250100Z - 251200Z

   ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE TX
   COAST INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Isolated severe thunderstorms will continue from the TX coast into
   the lower MS Valley tonight.

   ...Discussion...

   Dynamically driven MCS is spreading across east TX with a trailing
   band of strong storms extending southwest along a cold front into
   deep south TX. 00z soundings from CRP/BRO exhibit fairly steep
   mid-level lapse rates but appreciable capping beneath 700mb. Radar
   data suggests hail likely accompanies the strongest updrafts but
   this activity is gradually weakening and mostly sub-severe or near
   1". Overall, severe probs appear to be somewhat lower than earlier
   today given recent trends and diagnostic data. For these reasons
   will maintain MRGL Risk into the lower MS Valley for some threat of
   hail/wind and perhaps a brief tornado.

   ..Darrow.. 04/25/2019

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z

        
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Page last modified: April 25, 2019
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