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Nov 12, 2019 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Nov 12 17:22:03 UTC 2019 (Print Version | 20191112 1730Z Day 2 shapefile | 20191112 1730Z Day 2 KML)
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 Forecast Discussion

   SPC AC 121722

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1122 AM CST Tue Nov 12 2019

   Valid 131200Z - 141200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms are unlikely on Wednesday over the CONUS.

   ...Discussion...
   Broad cyclonic flow will largely prevail across the U.S. Wednesday,
   as one short-wave trough exits the eastern U.S., while a second
   shifts out of the Rockies into the central portion of the country. 
   Meanwhile, ridging will prevail over the West Coast states, and
   vicinity.  

   At the surface, the trailing portion of a cold front crossing the
   western Atlantic will likely have cleared even southern Florida by
   the start of the period, and will continue advancing southward with
   time.  Little thunder risk is thus apparent, even over south Florida
   and the Keys.

   As an upper low crosses northern Mexico, convection is expected --
   but with any instability likely remaining to the Mexican side of the
   Rio Grande, appreciable risk for lightning over south Texas is not
   apparent.

   ...MAXIMUM RISK BY HAZARD...
   Tornado:  <2%     - None
   Wind:     <5%     - None
   Hail:     <5%     - None

   ..Goss.. 11/12/2019

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z

        
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Page last modified: November 12, 2019
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