SPC AC 120823
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0223 AM CST Tue Nov 12 2019
Valid 141200Z - 151200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
General thunderstorms are possible over parts of Florida on
...Synopsis and Discussion...
High pressure will maintain stable conditions over most of the CONUS
as an upper trough moves from the Plains into the Southeast.
Meanwhile, a low-latitude, low-amplitude trough will move across the
Gulf Of Mexico, with a weak surface low developing across FL.
Although winds aloft and deep-layer shear will increase, relatively
weak winds will exist below 700 mb. In addition, lapse rates will be
poor, resulting in only a few hundred J/kg of MUCAPE. Thus, while
showers and thunderstorms are expected from afternoon (due to
heating) into the overnight (with a cold front), severe weather is
not currently anticipated.
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